Open Menu
AllLocalCommunitiesAbout
lotide
AllLocalCommunitiesAbout
Login

Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032

⁨125⁩ ⁨likes⁩

Submitted ⁨⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago⁩ by ⁨threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works⁩ to ⁨astronomy@mander.xyz⁩

https://arstechnica.com/space/2025/02/thanks-to-nasa-you-probably-wont-have-to-worry-about-this-asteroid-killing-you/

source

Comments

Sort:hotnewtop
  • MrTrono@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Am I supposed to panic because it’s unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I’m out here wishing for death by meteor.

    source
    • lordnikon@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.

      source
      • Omgpwnies@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        You think “most of us” will be dead in … 7 years? That’s pretty doomer if you ask me.

        source
        • -> View More Comments
    • LouNeko@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Yeah I’ll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I’m gonna try to punch it back into orbit.

      You don’t have to thank me.

      source
  • Sterile_Technique@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Better late than never I guess.

    Image

    source
    • Comment105@lemm.ee ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      I’m not even joking. I want this asteroid to hit our planet and make us all go the way of the dinos.

      source
      • Captainautism@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        Yes, please!

        source
  • parpol@programming.dev ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    To people having panic attacks, it is not large enough to destroy the earth, and we would have plenty of time to evacuate the impact location. Though let’s hope it isn’t anywhere with permafrost.

    source
    • Jimmycakes@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      You mean populate the impact zone because I’m going to watch

      source
      • hungprocess@lemmy.sdf.org ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        Image

        source
      • SARGE@startrek.website ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        Yeah, my dogs will be gone by then so I would absolutely set up a tent close enough to catch it. I’d even bring a baseball glove for shits and giggles.

        source
    • taiyang@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Aw, you think we’ll still have permafrost by then.

      source
    • SuperSaiyanSwag@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Well that’s disappointing

      source
    • photonic_sorcerer@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      It’ll be an equatorial impact.

      source
  • solsangraal@lemmy.zip ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    i don’t like those odds. anything we can do to bump it up to around 75%-100%?

    source
    • burgersc12@mander.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Image

      source
    • Chakravanti@monero.town ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Sync Earth’s magnetic union of it’s core a bit finer and it will do exactly that.

      source
  • Cform@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Image

    source
  • Coreidan@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    I’ll only panic if it misses

    source
  • vga@sopuli.xyz ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Can we launch a satellite at it, perhaps detonate a huge nuke on it to make that chance higher?

    source
    • SARGE@startrek.website ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Project Sundial can still make a comeback.

      source
    • rickyrigatoni@lemm.ee ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Nuke the far side of the moon and plunge it into earth. Give the asteroid inadequacy issues.

      source
      • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        Wouldn’t detonating on the forward side rather than the zenith side be most effective at lowering the perigee of the moon?

        source
  • chemical_cutthroat@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Jesus is coming back and he’s pissed…

    source
  • Floshie@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    should I mention “don’t look up” ?

    source
  • expatriado@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    that was Trump chances in 2016…

    source
  • adarza@lemmy.ca ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    is there any way to hurry it along?

    source
  • pjwestin@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    That’s 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope…

    source
    • xor@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      don’t worry, it’ll just be like a small nuke, not a planet killer… (until they update the size estimates)

      source
  • Yawweee877h444@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Sigh. Why can’t it be 109%

    This place sucks.

    source
  • casmael@lemm.ee ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Okay so how big is this meteor then

    source
    • GooberEar@lemmy.wtf ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      It’s around 1000 millimeteors

      source
    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Listed in the article:

      Scientists estimate that 2024 YR4 is between 130 to 300 feet (40 and 90 meters) wide

      source
      • spongeborgcubepants@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        How many giraffes is it tho

        source
        • -> View More Comments
      • Comment105@lemm.ee ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

        Fuck, I was hoping for a 10-15 km wide one.

        source
    • everett@lemmy.ml ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Exactly one meteor wide. Do you need the height as well?

      source
    • Norgoroth@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      130 - 400 meters

      source
  • DarkFuture@lemmy.world ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Panic?

    I’m crossing my fingers for the wellbeing of the universe. We’re awful.

    source
    • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Worry not, for we are insignificant to the universe.

      source
  • InFerNo@lemmy.ml ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    If we are able to nudge an asteroid, would an asteroid of this size nudge the earth?

    source
    • threelonmusketeers@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

      Technically the solar system is a multi-body system, and everything nudges everything else, but the mass of the earth is far greater than the mass of the asteroid, to the point that it doesn’t matter.

      source
  • Idea@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Scott Manley video explaining the subject

    source
  • GrumpyDuckling@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    I wonder if the “important” people know the chances are higher, so they’re going for broke in order to build their escape ship.

    source
  • shadowedcross@sh.itjust.works ⁨2⁩ ⁨months⁩ ago

    Image

    source