By 2035, falling satellites will kill or injure someone every two years, says FAA - Gizchina
Submitted 1 year ago by ijeff@lemdro.id to technology@lemmy.world
https://www.gizchina.com/2023/10/15/satellite-debris-risks-faa-report/
Comments
name_NULL111653@pawb.social 1 year ago
yojimbo@sopuli.xyz 1 year ago
Wow, I’ve never heard about “GIZCHINA”. It definitely isn’t gizmodo - right? 🤔 Right!
- it is a Czech company with entire capital stock consisting of 4USD 😎
- the text is showing hight probability of AI generation. Which adult human being is going to write eg: " In this article, we will discuss the FAA report in detail, including the risks posed by falling satellites, the causes of these risks, and the potential solutions to mitigate them." 🤖
- it does not say anything else than this - much more likely human written thing here - only the original is only 1/3 as long. That is IMO how come the AI Writing is literraly jumping out on you from the article. 😱
This is my least favourite century yet.
Aatube@kbin.social 1 year ago
TBF the original article you linked is in Chinese and does not have ads in the middle of the article, so you should compare their translated lengths.
All in all we need the original FAA report.
db2@sopuli.xyz 1 year ago
Injure? Injure?? If someone gets nothing but a boo boo from a falling fucking satellite then they need to go buy a lottery ticket right away.
GratefullyGodless@lemmy.world 1 year ago
It can hit in someone’s vicinity causing them injury. It would rarely be a direct strike.
FaceDeer@kbin.social 1 year ago
Satellites will have thoroughly fragmented by the time they reach the ground, you'd be hit by a piece of a satellite.
Assuming the study being referenced wasn't actually badly flawed, which it appears to be.
abhibeckert@lemmy.world 1 year ago
If a satellite were to smash through the roof of my office and land harmlessly on the floor, I reckon I’d be quite startled and might bump my knee on the bottom of the desk…
There’s definitely a risk of injury, and you’re far more likely to be injured than killed.
burntbutterbiscuits@sh.itjust.works 1 year ago
The lottery chances are independent of the other event I believe so why not go for it
NocturnalMorning@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Nah, if a satellite crashes through my roof, I’m definitely gonna be a first time lottery ticket buyer that day.
menemen@lemmy.world 1 year ago
One can get hurt without a direct hit. E.g. when a window bursts from a shockwave and hurts people inside a building.
Cocodapuf@lemmy.world 1 year ago
The thumbnail image isn’t even a satellite…
Kolanaki@yiffit.net 1 year ago
The dragon capsule isn’t going to suddenly fall out of orbit somewhere unexpected…
It’s highly unlikely, but the possibility isn’t 0.
Blastasaurus@lemm.ee 1 year ago
There are around 50,000 Starlink near misses per year.
Cocodapuf@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Well, the chance isn’t zero, but that example, being knocked out (disabled or destroyed) by an asteroid has never happened to any spacecraft, ever. Statically the chances of that happening are very very close to zero.
MooseBoys@lemmy.world 1 year ago
the probability that the satellite debris will not be completely burned during the fall and cause injury or death to people on the ground is 0.6 per year. This means it would happen once every two years
That doesn’t mean it will fucking hit someone. The surface area of the planet is 510e12 m^2. There are about 8B people on the planet. Even if we conservatively assume that everyone is lying flat on their back in the middle of an open field, that’s only about 8B m^2 of vulnerable surface area. At that rate, you’d expect an injury interval of 510e12 / 8e9 / 0.6 = 1 injury every 106 thousand years.
Agent641@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Do we know who this ‘someone’ is? Sucks to be them.
rbesfe@lemmy.ca 1 year ago
This article was either written by AI, or a human with an IQ of 50
ShittyBeatlesFCPres@lemmy.world 1 year ago
This completely ignores the fact that the 2034 Full Self Driving beta release roadmap includes falling satellite avoidance capabilities.
uriel238@lemmy.blahaj.zone 1 year ago
So far, no one has ever been killed by a meteorite. There’s been a scary injury, some unconfirmed rumors and at least one engine block was cracked in half.
That said, death by thing falling from space is totally how I want to die. Bonus points if I’m totally disintegrated and just MIA. ( Circuitboard. It was man made. Has anyone seen Uriel? ) A falling satellite will be fine.
qyron@sopuli.xyz 1 year ago
Perhaps fetching all of that junk might be a good idea? Perhaps a satellite trash collector satellite.
intensely_human@lemm.ee 1 year ago
I’ll just stay inside that day, or better yet go hang out in a tunnel
ik5pvx@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Wait until you hear about Boring Company 's rogue tunnel diggers…
jaybone@lemmy.world 1 year ago
In 2034 once every two years, a person will end up in a randomly dug tunnel.
Anduin1357@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Absolutely debunked, FAA accepted a report that didn’t do proper research and have been called out by SpaceX for it.
SmashingSquid@notyour.rodeo 1 year ago
Someone downvoted you but you are correct. The report used assumptions based on satellites not even made of the same materials as starlink satellites.
arstechnica.com/…/spacex-says-faa-is-wrong-about-…
HarkMahlberg@kbin.social 1 year ago
SeaJ@lemm.ee 1 year ago
Yeah, I was going to say that there is no way that could be correct. There are only like 8000 satellites in orbit. There is no fucking way that small of a number is going to be hurting someone every couple years.
treadful@lemmy.zip 1 year ago
The people that put sats up have to calculate how every component will burn up in the atmosphere before they even get approval. Simply put, there’s basically no chance of anyone dying from these things reentering the atmosphere.
rambaroo@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Lol SpaceX. Why would I take them seriously?
lte678@feddit.de 1 year ago
Who wouldn’t? They are doing some of the most advanced rocket science on the planet. Of course, trusting corporations statements and research is an entire topic of it’s own. Taking Elon Musk seriously on the other hand…