Since it’s Fry answering the question, the answer is B 0%.
What's the main device to hammer in a nail?
Submitted 2 hours ago by NichEherVielleicht@feddit.org to science_memes@mander.xyz
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Comments
dohpaz42@lemmy.world 14 minutes ago
Triumph@fedia.io 1 hour ago
All right, let's break this down.
For this question, for these available answers, choosing at random:
First glance says the correct percentage is 25%. There are four answers, you get to pick one.
However, two of the answers are 25%. This means you have a 50% chance of picking an answer that's right.
Which makes the correct answer C: 50%.
But there's only one answer that's "50%", so you have a 25% chance of picking that one.
Which makes the correct answer "25%", so you have a 50% chance of picking that one.
If we consider that "two answer" equation, we can then consider the correct percentage to be "37.5%" -- halfway between 25% and 50%. That makes the correct answer from the available answers to be B: 0%.
And you have a 25% chance of picking that one at random. So we go back to the beginning, where the correct percentage is 25%.
I think we need to get Matt Parker on this one.
Artisian@lemmy.world 1 hour ago
They don’t say that the random answer is chosen uniformly (though that is the norm in the field). If we relax that, then we’re putting a distribution on these where we want:
P(correct with distribution (a,b,c,d)) = some value shown on A,B,C,D
I don’t see any assumption that we will pick using that distribution, so I think this avoids the recursion.
Unfortunately this has too many solutions. If you put a total of 0.25 weight on A and D, then the rest does not matter. If you put 0.5 weight on C, again the rest is irrelevant.
Triumph@fedia.io 1 hour ago
You've added details that aren't in the question. It's like asking what are the odds of rolling a "one" on a 1d4, and then saying "Well, if it's not a fair 1d4, then ..."
Soup@lemmy.world 34 minutes ago
There’s also, I think, the weird fucky option were 75% sorta works because the 25% applies to choosing 50% and 50% applies to choosing 25% which means that as long as you don’t choose 0% you’re good?
yesman@lemmy.world 2 hours ago
wander1236@sh.itjust.works 2 hours ago
It doesn’t say for this question, so 25%
just2look@lemmy.zip 2 hours ago
If it isn’t for this question, then its unknown how many options you have for the question.
wander1236@sh.itjust.works 2 hours ago
Damn
Aedis@lemmy.world 46 minutes ago
It’s 50/50 either you get it right or you don’t duh.
/s in case someone didn’t realize it
cypherpunks@lemmy.ml 1 hour ago
funkless_eck@sh.itjust.works 1 hour ago
let’s rotate the board!
NichEherVielleicht@feddit.org 2 hours ago
Kolanaki@pawb.social 1 hour ago
I have a 100℅ chance to get this answer right.
Windex007@lemmy.world 1 hour ago
NAIL. FINAL ANSWER!
NichEherVielleicht@feddit.org 49 minutes ago
seaplant@slrpnk.net 1 hour ago
Simpler version that fits comfier in my head:
What’s the opposite of the correct answer to this question?
- A) There’s no correct answer
- B) There is a correct answer
hemko@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 hour ago
0%
Xanthrax@lemmy.world 1 hour ago
25/ 25 cancel each other. 50%.
JohnnyCanuck@lemmy.ca 3 minutes ago
But there’s only one 50. What if you pick 0?
hakase@sh.itjust.works 3 minutes ago
According to my mathematician wife, “it’s got the same problem most paradoxes do in that it’s self-referential”.