I read somewhere there are 6 possibilities:
- Dark forest theory - read at least book 1 and 2 of three body problem series or google for spoilers
- A filter exists, or more plainly something that always causes a civilization to eventually fail.
- Similar to Star Trek, other civilizations are waiting for us to pass a threshold before contact is made.
- Carl Sagan: the universe is so large and intelligent life is so sparse, we just haven’t come across them yet.
- Life on our planet is unique to the entire universe
- Could also be a mixture of some of these.
Whatever it is, it’s a fascinating problem and I like Carl Sagan’s approach.
roofuskit@lemmy.world 15 hours ago
The universe is vast. The assumption that any species could travel to another is a flawed one.
IggyTheSmidge@lemmy.blahaj.zone 8 hours ago
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy
Cocodapuf@lemmy.world 12 hours ago
And even if they could, it’s hard to imagine a reason to travel to another star system.
The expansion of a species beyond a single star system for any reason is dubious, there’s really just no reason to do it, and the cost is extremely high (given known physics).
I say there’s no reason to leave the solar system, but I think that probably needs some explanation, because the obvious reason that may come to mind is probably overpopulation on earth and looking for other habitable planets. The thing is, in order to travel to another star system you need to really master surviving in space; if you can build a colony ship, you can build space habitats. If you can build space habitats, then you have enough material and energy right here in the Sol system to support quadrillions of humans living in space habitats. In other words, there’s no reason to leave for tens of thousands of years.
All that is to say, if you aren’t traveling to other star systems for your own species, you probably aren’t doing it for others.
BananaTrifleViolin@piefed.world 10 hours ago
If we built a self replicating probe and sent it to the nearest system, and from there it sent off 2 more probes and so on, in 2 million years they’d have reached every system. The only cost would be the initial probe. and any species that has mastered it’s own star system could do that. They could send out their own genetic material and spread their form of live.
They don’t have to go themselves out into space, they can send automated machines. We’ve already started doing just that with very basic machines for scientific curiosity. I see no reason why we wouldn’t send out replicating probes when we have the technology to do it.
However we do come back to Fermi’s Paradox: the universe is 13800million years old. So far we have no evidence a probe has reached our star system. Where are they? Maybe we just haven’t stumbled across one yet. Or maybe life really is very rare?