Vibe coding is a black hole. I’ve had some colleagues try and pass stuff off.
What I’m learning about what matters is that the code itself is secondary to the understanding you develop by creating the code. You don’t create the code? You don’t develop the understanding. Without the understanding, there is nothing.
WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 2 weeks ago
Only until AI investor money dries up and vibe coding gets very expensive quickly. Kinda how Uber isn’t way cheaper than taxi’s now.
blaggle42@lemmy.today 2 weeks ago
This.
Zwuzelmaus@feddit.org 2 weeks ago
Is that the latest term for “when hell freezes over”?
massacre@lemmy.world 2 weeks ago
Microsoft steeply lowered expectations on the AI Sales team, though they have denied this since they got pummelled in their quarterly and there’s been a lot of news about how investors are not happy with all the circular AI investments pumping those stocks. When the bubble pops (and all signs point to that), investors will flee. You’ll see consolidation, buy-outs, hell maybe even some bullshit bailouts, but ultimately it has to be a sustainable model and that means it will cost developers or they will be pummeled with ads (probably both).
A Majority of CEOs are saying their AI spend has not paid off. Those are the primary customers, not your average joe. MIT reports 95% generative AI failure rate at companies. Altman still hasn’t turned a profit. There are Serious power build-out problems for new AI centers (let alone the chips needed). It’s an overheated reactionary market. It’s the Dot Com bubble all over again.
There will be some more spending to make sure a good chunk of CEOs “add value” (FOMO) and then a critical juncture where AI spending contracts sharply when they continue to see no returns, accelerated if the US economy goes tits up. Then the domino’s fall.
WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 2 weeks ago
Hah, they wish. It’s a business, and they need a return on investment eventually. Maybe if we were in a zero interest rate world again, but even that didn’t last.
otter@lemmy.ca 2 weeks ago
Unless I misunderstood, it will eventually dry up? Investors aren’t going to be willing to give money with no returns indefinitely
percent@infosec.pub 2 weeks ago
I wouldn’t be surprised if that’s only a temporary problem - if it becomes one at all. People are quickly discovering ways to use LLMs more effectively, and open source models are starting to become competitive with commercial models. If we can continue finding ways to get more out of smaller, open-source models, then maybe we’ll be able to run them on consumer or prosumer-grade hardware.
GPUs and TPUs have also been improving their energy efficiency. There seems to be a big commercial focus on that too, as energy availability is quickly becoming a bottleneck.
WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 2 weeks ago
So far, there is serious cognitive step needed that LLM just can’t do to get productive. They can output code but they don’t understand what’s going on. They don’t grasp architecture. Large projects don’t fit on their token window. Debugging something vague doesn’t work. Fact checking isn’t something they do well.
XLE@piefed.social 2 weeks ago
Can you cite some sources on the increased efficiency? Also, can you link to these lower priced, efficient (implied consumer grade) GPUs and TPUs?
Infernal_pizza@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 weeks ago
They’ve thought of that as well, soon nobody will be able to afford consumer grade hardware
teslekova@sh.itjust.works 2 weeks ago
It’s not going to be enough to spend thirty thousand dollars a year per person on it, though, so the current first mover corps are still fucked. I agree that the tech itself has huge possibilities, just not the pets.com ass bullshit that is currently being pushed.
caseyweederman@lemmy.ca 2 weeks ago
You say “dries up” like that wasn’t always the end goal for rideshare apps. Disrupt, overtake, starve out, hike prices.
WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 2 weeks ago
With Uber that was indeed the plan and it worked. The same plan was there for AI, but AI isn’t doing so well on the whole overtake and starve out thing. They’ll have to jump directly to hiking prices. So it’s only kinda like Uber.