A few years ago, Amazon chairman Jeff Bezos revealed how he thinks of local PC hardware as antiquated, ready to be replaced by cloud options from companies like AWS and Azure.
Bucha Bull to me.
Submitted 2 months ago by mesamunefire@piefed.social to technology@lemmy.world
A few years ago, Amazon chairman Jeff Bezos revealed how he thinks of local PC hardware as antiquated, ready to be replaced by cloud options from companies like AWS and Azure.
Bucha Bull to me.
This is stupid. I will never rent a computer mainframe.
Over my dead body Jeff.
He needs to be uploaded to a cloud himself. By a bullet to the head.
There’s no quite part anymore. It’s all out in the open. Be it politics, capitalism, police brutality,… you name it.
Seize the means of computation!
So, what prediction did Bezos make back then, that seems particularly poignant right now? Bezos thinks that local PC hardware is antiquated, and that the future will revolve around cloud computing scenarios, where you rent your compute from companies like Amazon Web Services or Microsoft Azure.
This isn’t a new idea, and it certainly predates Bezos.
I’m older now, but throughout my life there has been a pendulum swing back and forth between local compute power vs remote compute power. The price of RAM going up follows the exact same path this has gone half a dozen times already in the last 50 years. Compute power gets cheap then it gets expensive, then it gets cheap again. Bezos’s statements are just the most recent example. He’s no prophet. This has just happened before, and it will revert again. Rinse repeat:
2000s local compute power: This was the widespread adoption of desktop PCs with 3D graphics cards as a standard along with high power CPUs.
2010s remote compute power: VDI appears! This is things like VMware Horizon or Citirix Virtual Desktop along with the launch of AWS for the first time.
2020s local compute power: Powerful CPUs and massively fast GPUs are now now standard and affordable.
2030s remote compute power…in the cloud…probably
In 2040s do we just move our brains into our own self hosted data centers?
For the 2040s, if the pattern holds, local compute power will be come dirt cheap again, and there will be very few reasons to pay someone else to host your compute power remotely. Maybe it will be supercomputers on everyone’s wrist or something.
This is part of the AI push, but it assumes that it succeeds. With luck it can be stopped.
Yup, just don’t eat the shit they are shoveling.
Bezos said he saw this generator in the same way he sees local computing solutions today
This is hilarious, because every single facility of note, and especially datacenters has local, grid independent generators. Datacenters in particular have been noteworthy for pushing for ‘off-grid’ power plants to give them more control over their power and costs. In the more reachable territory, residential solar promises value by mitigating your exposure to eletrical rate changes, and in some cases combined with home energy storage, people are going off-grid. A lot of commercial interests also pad out their facilities with solar panels, because it is cheaper than sourcing entirely from the grid, and this was before the recent rate hikes inflicted by datacenter buildouts.
His analogy is bogus because he implies off-grid energy generation is a thing of the past while AWS itself is a huge driver of off-grid energy generation in a world where off-grid energy generation is actually increasing.
Datacenters in particular have been noteworthy for pushing for ‘off-grid’ power plants to give them more control over their power and costs.
Yeah, like how Elong Musk is poisoning Memphis with his illegal generators spewing smog all over the place.
Why should I?
Yeah thats gonna be a no from me
Though this is all motivated by capitalistic expansion, it’s also worth noting that liberals have been trying to eliminate the dissent facilitated through online activism and information campaigns for a few years now. Ownership over our PCs means that there can always be an internet operated and monitored by us.
I can’t believe we in a place where that needs to be said.
You gotta pay more attention then. Many of us have expected this for nine years, some sixty years.
Weird. You would think that the “genius” would know that the very AI and Quantum computing his organization and other Billionaires are building out, is going to undermine anything of value that is Centralized. Really proof his genius is how to exploit others and not really the reality we are finding ourselves in. I am LOL inside as the shift back to decentralized services will be a bloodbath for Centralized anything.
It’s… literally the opposite. The giant AI models with trillions of parameters are not something you can run without spending many thousands of dollars, and quantum computers cost millions. These are definitely not services that are going to fall into the hands of everyday people. At best you get small AI models.
The evidence is the trend overtime in terms of organizations getting hacked (countless studies and reports on it). This is the graph to watch closely as it is the path we are on and there is a point on that curve that Centralization becomes a liability.
Perfect! And after that we can rent our phones from the cloud too. Maybe our electric cars after that?
That’s like an EU member purchasing the F-35 under Krasnov. Yep, fuck that shit.
I’ll host my photos on a jailbroken pregnancy test.
If China wants to win against these assholes, all they have to do is help develop open alternatives to TSML and ASML and not invade Taiwan so these assholes have to bear the brunt of the AI bubble.
Literally no reason to live if you have to subscribe for air.
No reason to hold back then, this planet is not big enough for billionaires.
…and how show I access this cloud compute? Stick my fingers into a network socket and wiggle them?
I don’t buy computers from wax figures.
Cheap computer (I’m Canadian so let’s say these are maple bucks) say $500, what’s a rental $30 a month, so 16ish months before it’s paid off.
I ran a media PC off a $300 computer for years (I can’t recall exactly least 2 maybe 3). If you need more you probably don’t need a cloud one, if you get a cloud one it’s cheaper to buy a cheap computer every 2 years.
It may make a sense to some but I enjoy having my nas backup and separate media PC. Also if Amazon goes down you can’t even access the calculator, least with no Internet there are options at home.
Amazon sucks
It never was a thing that kept quiet…
It’s just many people on the way were telling you
He so damn trash
Aren’t people backdoor already doing this? There are lots of people who only have their phone and maybe a tablet, and for basically everything that might actually require computing power (i.e. photo editing) they end up using a web app or something.
Yeah, web apps are like that, that’s why I’m dropping them (alongside with Electron apps) as soon as possible. Currently in the process of writing a DAP plugin for KATE, so I can have a nice GUI debugger on Linux without having to use VSlop Code.
What’s wrong with VSCode? There’s an open source version (codium) which works just as well for me.
No.
I have a linuxbox with decent hardware that i can squeeze 4 years out of still, a steamdeck, and steamframes soon. I’ll be good for quite a while, long enough to ride out the AI slop-bubble
Yes rent a computer from the cloud, while your Internet is capped at a terrabyte
Terry Davis was right…
buddascrayon@lemmy.world 2 months ago
I love how the author keeps bringing up how expensive it would be to implement a system of cloud computing rental because no one would pay the amount it would require to make such a thing profitable. But we’re talking about Jeff bezos here who took billions of dollars worth of loss for over 10 years before making Amazon the profit machine that it is now. Simply by making things cheaper for a long period of time until the customer base eas so used to the model that they could picture doing it any other way and their competition went out of business. I can totally foresee them doing this exact thing with cloud computing. Make it really cheap get people hooked where they have gotten rid of all of their in person computers and then, once access to home computing is either prohibitively expensive or impossible to do because parts are no longer available or otherwise impossible for people to switch away, jack up the price and make it profitable by squeezing every dime out of the average consumer.
This was also, by the way, Netflix’s strategy as well as Spotify and all the other cloud-based services that people are “addicted to”. Take billions and loss to get people used to your service and not consider any alternative. Then once you have a captive audience shoot that price to the Moon.
Christobootswiththepher@lemmy.world 2 months ago
Yarrr