jj4211
@jj4211@lemmy.world
- Comment on Stop Talking to Technology Executives Like They Have Anything to Say 1 day ago:
Well if he wants to say that chatgpt can replace even CEOs, then he needs to be the sort of CEO chatgpt could replace
- Comment on Stop Talking to Technology Executives Like They Have Anything to Say 1 day ago:
From my experience, a big contributor to their financial success is their unwillingness to recognize any of that.
You don’t have to run fast, just faster than the bear. They just need to be smarter than the investors who aren’t generally all that smart.
While an even smarter person could respond to nuance, then that person loses the investors who cannot follow. So at some point it becomes a liability to be thoughtful and nuanced.
- Comment on I Got This Right, Right? 1 day ago:
Think that’s a fair assessment. On the one hand we are more connected than ever and sentiment travels fast and echo chambers let dangerous extremist thought fester. On the other hand, Germans were experiencing just a much worse actual living situation.
- Comment on I Got This Right, Right? 1 day ago:
I’d even say all indications are that his leanings don’t matter in the specifics of this event.
It’s probably more informative that folks can credibly have theories for either leaning to lead to this event. Lots of reasons that could believably drive any political leaning over the edge if they are close.
- Comment on I Got This Right, Right? 1 day ago:
I will point out one thing that should be obvious, the shooter was only 22. So it’s possible he doesn’t have a very baked and stable political ideology. I knew a hard core outwardly homophobic conservative at 17 who came out as gay and did theater by 20. I knew a fairly liberal person when she was about 18 that over the years got to a place where she publicly praised Trump and called COVID a hoax and the vaccine a conspiracy. No idea how that happened, even as I saw it first hand.
Given the situation, it is at least clear he was unhinged if he would get to this point, either way. I would have hoped this would be a lesson for people that people get dangerously moved by angry rhetoric, but a lot of folks are ramping up rhetoric instead.
- Comment on Happy Birthday! 5 days ago:
Right, but it says “Mario”, and that was not the first game that featured the character.
- Comment on Microsoft still can't convince folks to upgrade to Windows 11 6 days ago:
Left out being nagged to death about other products and services microsoft thinks you should buy.
- Comment on 6 days ago:
Of all the people I was worried about materially contributing to the mess, Charlie Kirk was pretty low on the list.
He said vile stuff, but he was not himself a wielder of power. His rhetoric and words had power, he did not. His death in this manner has given strength to that rhetoric and those words without removing any of his meaningful influence to the system.
Better that these folks suffer the fear of what they court, to have their own MAGA fanatics turn against them with violence that scares them, but leaves them largely intact to have them retreat from their position without becoming martyrs.
Now if some folks actively wielding the power in harmful ways meet some ends, I might have a little less mixed feelings about it.
I will confess to perhaps not celebrating, but appreciating the connection between his sociopathic stance on gun deaths and he himself joining a group he himself said we shouldn’t be so concerned about.
- Comment on 6 days ago:
Yeah, worried about this and the punishment doesn’t fit the crime, and too much room for his death to be weaponized, like you say.
Would have much rather him taken a few to the vest from a handgun from a pissed off obviously MAGA person. Give him some pain and a good scare to have him realize personally just how risky the hornet’s nest is that he is stirring. Something that might be a close enough call for others to see without becoming a rallying cry and a clear link to the violence of the rhetoric without a chance to blame ‘the other’.
- Comment on 6 days ago:
I will have empathy
How dare you dishonor his memory.
- Comment on DEI, more like DIED 6 days ago:
Yeah, without knowing context, you might think it’s someone admitting that we need gun control, but no, his point was that we shouldn’t care about the gun deaths so much…
- Comment on Exactly Six Months Ago, the CEO of Anthropic Said That in Six Months AI Would Be Writing 90 Percent of Code 6 days ago:
Yes, but just like quality, the people in charge of money aren’t totally on top of security either. They just see superficially convincing tutorial fodder and start declaring they will soon be able to get rid of all those pesky people. Even if you convince them a human does it better, they are inclined to think ‘good enough for the price’.
So you can’t say “it’s no better than human at quality” and expect those people to be discouraged, it has to be pointed out how wildly off base it is.
- Comment on Exactly Six Months Ago, the CEO of Anthropic Said That in Six Months AI Would Be Writing 90 Percent of Code 6 days ago:
One issue that remains is that the LLM doesn’t care if it is telling the truth or lying. To be a CEO, it needs to be more inclined to lie.
- Comment on Exactly Six Months Ago, the CEO of Anthropic Said That in Six Months AI Would Be Writing 90 Percent of Code 6 days ago:
If, hypothetically, the code had the same efficacy and quality as human code, then it would be much cheaper and faster. Even if it was actually a little bit worse, it still would be amazingly useful.
My dishwasher sometimes doesn’t fully clean everything, it’s not as strong as a guarantee as doing it myself. I still use it because despite the lower quality wash that requires some spot washing, I still come out ahead.
Now this was hypothetical, LLM generated code is damn near useless for my usage, despite assumptions it would do a bit more. But if it did generate code that matched the request with comparable risk of bugs compared to doing it myself, I’d absolutely be using it. I suppose with the caveat that I have to consider the code within my ability to actual diagnose problems too…
- Comment on Exactly Six Months Ago, the CEO of Anthropic Said That in Six Months AI Would Be Writing 90 Percent of Code 6 days ago:
Based on my experience, I’m skeptical someone that seemingly delegates their reasoning to an LLM were really good engineers in the first place.
Whenever I’ve tried, it’s been so useless that I can’t really develop a reflex, since it would have to actually help for me to get used to just letting it do it’s thing.
Meanwhile the people who are very bullish who are ostensibly the good engineers that I’ve worked with are the people who became pet engineers of executives and basically have long succeeded by sounding smart to those executives rather than doing anything or even providing concrete technical leadership. They are more like having something akin to Gartner on staff, except without even the data that at least Gartner actually gathers, even as Gartner is a useless entity with respect to actual guidance.
- Comment on Related: https://lemmy.wtf/comment/16937362 1 week ago:
To be fair, he probably was constantly being cursed/hexed by someone or another.
- Comment on Microsoft ends OpenAI exclusivity in Office, adds rival Anthropic 1 week ago:
Feel like I’m being gaslit, the more I try to use them the less confident I become in their utility.
I will confess it did help me cut through some particularly obtuse documentation to provide a rough example of what I wanted to do. It still totally screwed up the actual suggestion, but it at least helped me figure out some good keywords to dig into.
It occasionally saves me some tedium when I have to do something mindlessly tedious, but doing that usually also inflicts constant misguesses about what next.
But even when doing easy stuff they are falling over constantly, and that hasn’t been significantly improving.
- Comment on A conundrum 1 week ago:
So back when I rented, it was only two landlords and only three years and it was fine, so I was spared the slumlord experience. In fact, my second landlords were a very nice couple, and when I got laid off they actually waived that months rent to help me get sorted.
However those slumlords do exist, trying to evict in face of rent controls, being stingy with maintenance. They however still may be cheaper than a 30 year mortgage, especially if they have no tenant. A tenant might face an aggressive rate hike with the landlord betting they don’t want to move out, losing the price advantage relatively quickly. Ultimately if a residence is empty, the owner is aware the tenants are likely cross shopping properties they could mortgage instead, so they have to be somewhat competitive then. So they are very happy when the real estate market holes prices because they can extract higher rents from the property they aren’t having to buy in current market conditions. They aren’t saints and may treat their tenants like crap, but they are subject to price competition, depending on the market they are in.
- Comment on Huawei unveils new trifold smartphone before Apple’s iPhone 17 reveal 1 week ago:
Interesting, but is that figure among those that actually register with the built in smart tv, or average for all purchases? The attach rate i would think for the smart features would be challenged by google and apple and roku pushing streaming sticks. The streaming sticks can probably just assume 100% attach but still seem to price with a little positive margin.
- Comment on Time to bash Americans again 1 week ago:
Maybe they needed the more affordable healthcare?
- Comment on A conundrum 1 week ago:
If the landlord has a 10-year mortgage they just took out, the rental market wouldn’t cover that, because that landlord is competing with comparable properties that didn’t choose that amount. They are also competing with people that bought the property a decade ago and don’t have the same mortgage burden. They are also competing with some that even considers their accumulation of equity a component of their wealth and wouldn’t mind being mildly underwater early in their loan for the long term advantage.
At least in my area, the way the real estate market has worked out is that renting is about 10-15% lower than monthly expense for a 30-year purchase after 20% downpayment. If the real estate bubble pops, that will probably flip back around, but for now, the renters are getting a discount for short term, which in my opinion is the way it should be, renters getting a bit of a break for their equity disadvantage. In a sane market, the renter gets a cheaper payment that makes financial sense for 2-3 years in a property rather than being forced to rent by an owner class making new ownership impossible.
- Comment on A conundrum 1 week ago:
I think the point is that properties on market are, as a rule, not very recently purchased with a 30-year mortgage. So the monthly cost now required to cover the owners costs may be based on financial conditions from 6 years ago. If the rental market has a lot of properties that have been held a while but house values have rocketed, then you have a critical mass of owners willing and ready to out-compete brand new mortgage rates even if they ignore their equity advantage.
In my area, that’s what we see, real estate prices are dramatically up as are interest rates, so mortgage cost to acquire is a fair amount above the going rate to rent comparable properties. Someone getting a 30 year mortgage to rent out a property would be underwater for very many years in the current market conditions around my area, as they have to compete with more aggressive owners that have had their properties for many years.
- Comment on A conundrum 1 week ago:
Actually, not necessarily.
In my local market, a house that would be about $2700/month in mortgage/insurance/taxes on a 30 year term after a huge downpayment would rent for about $2400/month right now.
There are some owners that in fact do count the equity, so they are willing to buy higher and be upside down compared to what a mortgage could be. The recognize the rent is only part of the income, that the property value going up is a potential gain to cash in that’s worth a few hundred a month to ‘deposit’.
Especially if the owners can pay cash and not incur the interest associated with a mortgage. It’s a bit of an odd choice right now as just letting the cash sit in a savings account offers competitive ROI with the current interest rates, but you’ve got a lot of property bought under previous conditions.
This only holds for relatively short term though, you’d expect rent hikes to go to $3000/month within a time period where that ownership monthly payment might only go up to $2800/month due to taxes and insurance rates. So 10 years into living somewhere you are now paying more to rent it than you would be if you had purchased comparable, even ignoring the equity part of the equation. If you include equity, then you better be planning to get out in 2 or 3 years at the most if you are embarking on renting, otherwise it’s much much better to buy even with higher mortgage payment, since you can cash in on the equity if you need to, eventually.
I’d say this is a relatively sane fiscal model of renting, that you need to give the renters a discount reflecting their lack of equity. I’m kind of glad to see rental rates being below mortgage rates in my area right now. That said, it wasn’t too long ago that rental rates in my area were higher than what mortgage could be, but large companies bought up housing stock and made it supremely difficult to actually buy as a private party. With the interest rates jacked up, those companies are cooling it a bit since they don’t have access to ‘free money’ anymore.
- Comment on A conundrum 1 week ago:
While renting in some markets can be cheaper than typical mortgage for comparable homes, the amount indicated seems a bit insane.
So either he is in a crazy real estate market, or there’s some additional context that makes it a poor comparison (going from renting in Virgina to Mortgage in San Francisco, going from a 1500 qt ft townhouse to a 3000 sq ft detached house with a quarter acre of land, or going for a 10-year mortgage). Or he’s just making it up or exaggerating because it’s the internet.
Interestingly enough that $4500 is pretty much exactly what it would be with 20% down on a $500,000 house for a 10-year mortgage. Of course, I’d expect such a house to rent for about $2700 rather than $1900. I could easily imagine he was renting a 2000 square foot 3 bedroom for $1900 and moving to what seems ‘slightly better’ 3000 square foot 3 bedroom with an extra special room or something, seeing that the 10-year mortgage is much cheaper in the long haul and going for it despite the huge monthly payment in the short term.
- Comment on Reddit lost it 1 week ago:
Probably why when Microsoft wanted to take another go at a “smart assistant”, they went with Cortana…
- Comment on A conundrum 1 week ago:
It depends on the market. Around here is similar, the market rental rate for a house is lower than what even the most lowest realistic monthly mortgage payment would be, but only by about 10% or so. I don’t know if you also dramatically upgraded your home quality.
Not too long ago around here it was the same as the post, renting higher than mortgage.
Even then over long term, the mortgage would make sense, since you can sell and get back some of the money and your principal and interest won’t magically get bigger because of market conditions.
In a sane world renting should be a touch cheaper than mortgage over the first few years, with tenants that only plan to be there 2 or three years. The owner gets a little income while taxes and insurance get paid and their asset maintained, and the tenant gets an easier and cheaper house to move in and out of for a short term living arrangement. Problem being when the market is upside down and when tenants are stuck never being able to build equity.
- Comment on Huawei unveils new trifold smartphone before Apple’s iPhone 17 reveal 1 week ago:
I’m not saying they don’t track, I’m saying the amount of money they expect from it is not as large as hundreds of dollars a unit.
- Comment on Huawei unveils new trifold smartphone before Apple’s iPhone 17 reveal 1 week ago:
Whole that may be somewhat true, I don’t think the magnitude of that expectation is that huge.
- Comment on What If There’s No AGI? 1 week ago:
Pretty much this. LLMs came out of left field going from morning to what it is more really quickly.
If expect the same of AGI, not correlated to who spent the most or is best at LLM. It might happen decades from now or in the next couple of months. It’s a breakthrough that is just going to come out of left field when it happens.
- Comment on How long do we have before PCs get locked bootloaders and corporations ban installation of "non-approved" software? (for context: Google is restricting sideloading worldwide on Android ETA 2027) 2 weeks ago:
Not the consumers so much as a ton of businesses that would have their whole IT broken.
Microsoft has really really wanted this to happen, but their attempts have failed to get traction, because it breaks just so many applications. The only reason people use windows is compatibility with all their apps, a move that breaks all the apps just doesn’t work.
Different with Android and iPhone where they managed to define the default position as app store and didn’t have to contend with “legacy”.