If you read “a scientist says”, then that’s not science.
A Scientist Says Humans Will Reach the Singularity Within 21 Years
Submitted 3 months ago by return2ozma@lemmy.world to technology@lemmy.world
https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/a61777484/2045-singularity-ray-kurzweil/
Comments
technocrit@lemmy.dbzer0.com 3 months ago
Naich@lemmings.world 3 months ago
Sounds like vapid bullshit, can’t be arsed to read. Anyone got a slvbcbatr; on the article?
RobotZap10000@feddit.nl 3 months ago
That’s a very long acronym that I haven’t seen before, nor can I guess what it means. Could you please expand it to quell my curiosity?
noodlejetski@lemm.ee 3 months ago
sounds like vapid bullshit, can’t be arsed to read
Buffalox@lemmy.world 3 months ago
The singularity is a fun idea, but it will never happen, because although technology has historically developed exponentially, we have reached a point where further progress is becoming harder, because of physical limits.
Obviously the hot thing right now is AI, but even if we nail that, it will not change the fact that there are physical limits to further progress.SlopppyEngineer@lemmy.world 3 months ago
Current AI is already running into the limits. It can’t find more data as it already consumed everything on the internet and needs more power for growth that is not available on the grid.
Buffalox@lemmy.world 3 months ago
I agree, although LLM models are pretty impressive, we seem to be hitting some pretty serious limitations of that model.
I’m sure better models will be found, and we will probably have occasional technology leaps in the future as we have had in the past. I just doubt they will continue to accelerate as they have done historically.
Personally I’m a bit disappointed that we haven’t developed more since the 70’s. I thought computer based automation would be much faster and better, and standard working hours would have been about halved around year 2000.
So I’m not that impressed, despite there have been some cool developments. But things take time.PS: In the 70’s fusion power was estimated by our physics teacher to be about 50 years away.
I remember it clearly, and I remember thinking as a teen, who the hell wants to work on something that will take 50 years?!
Now 50 years later, I’m not sure we are even half way there, and instead of cheap plentiful energy, we have climate change because we still use fossil fuels.So again I’m not that impressed with where we are, compared to what I hoped and expected 50 years ago.
einkorn@feddit.org 3 months ago
Well, I read somewhere in the 1800s an official in a major patent office resigned because he believed there was nothing new to invent/patent left.
Might be we will look back at our time right now the same as we do at the 1800s at the brink of a technological revolution.
Buffalox@lemmy.world 3 months ago
The “nothing more to invent” is an age old fallacy. And not at all what I stated.
Obviously there is still room for lots of invention, but the so called low hanging fruits are getting rarer.
If the goal is a fully mechanized society where we don’t need to work, we have a long long way to go yet.
aBundleOfFerrets@sh.itjust.works 3 months ago
I bet we can do it in three.
incogtino@lemmy.zip 3 months ago
aBundleOfFerrets Says Humans Will Reach the Singularity Within 3 Years
pennomi@lemmy.world 3 months ago
Basically the same amount of weight as the headline.
tjsauce@lemmy.world 3 months ago
21 is very specific
hperrin@lemmy.world 3 months ago
Neat. Just in time for the climate apocalypse.
eestileib@sh.itjust.works 3 months ago
I have never X’d harder in my life
paddirn@lemmy.world 3 months ago
I’m something of a scientist myself, I say we’ll reach it in 23 years.
db2@lemmy.world 3 months ago
h
thanks_shakey_snake@lemmy.ca 3 months ago
Trust the science
Deceptichum@quokk.au 3 months ago
A