LeFantome
@LeFantome@programming.dev
- Comment on UK to build 12 nuclear submarines in preparation for potential war with Russia 3 weeks ago:
How many potential military men are there in Russia?
140 million people? Half male? Half of that the right age? 70% of that military capable? What are we at? 25 million?
Minus the million he has burned so far I guess.
How quickly or effectively could those 24 million be mobilized?
Remember too that pulling these men into the military reduces Russia’s industrial output which also has military consequences.
How big is the Russian military right now? 1.5 million active and maybe a million contract? That allows them to deploy how many in theatre (as opposed to defence and operations at home)? 500,000 maybe?
Can Putin take Europe with a pool of 20 million men where maybe 20% that number are active at a time? He seems to be having quite a time taking Ukraine.
The Russian population gets older every day. There is an excellent argument to be made that Putin attacked when he did because his draft pool will be way too small in 10 years. By that logic, unless Putin wins convincingly in Ukraine soon, it will be generations before he has a large enough army to raise any credible challenge to Europe.
Equipment wise, I do not think they are even keeping inventory constant. The number of planes, tanks, ships, and missiles goes down every day. They are maybe increasing their capability with drones.
Overall, Russia will be older, smaller, poorer, and less well equipped in 4 years.
Defeating Russia in Ukraine means taking Russia off the board for the foreseeable future (nukes aside).
- Comment on UK to build 12 nuclear submarines in preparation for potential war with Russia 3 weeks ago:
How many potential military men are there in Russia?
140 million people? Half male? Half of that the right age? 70% of that military capable? What are we at? 25 million?
Minus the million he has burned so far I guess.
How quickly or effectively could those 24 million be mobilized?
Remember too that pulling these men into the military reduces Russia’s industrial output which also has military consequences.
How big is the Russian military right now? 1.5 million active and maybe a million contract? That allows them to deploy how many in theatre (as opposed to defence and operations at home)? 500,000 maybe?
Can Putin take Europe with a pool of 20 million men where maybe 20% that number are active at a time? He seems to be having quite a time taking Ukraine.
The Russian population gets older every day. There is an excellent argument to be made that Putin attacked when he did because his draft pool will be way too small in 10 years. By that logic, unless Putin wins convincingly in Ukraine soon, it will be generations before he has a large enough army to raise any credible challenge to Europe.
Equipment wise, I do not think they are even keeping inventory constant. The number of planes, tanks, ships, and missiles goes down every day. They are maybe increasing their capability with drones.
Overall, Russia will be older, smaller, poorer, and less well equipped in 4 years.
Defeating Russia in Ukraine means taking Russia off the board for the foreseeable future (nukes aside).
- Comment on On trees... 4 weeks ago:
That happens to me constantly
- Comment on On trees... 4 weeks ago:
That and every Stargate planet is Vancouver
- Comment on 'End of 10' to Windows 10 Users: The Environment Wants You to Use Linux 5 weeks ago:
Yes please. 2013 MacBook Pro? I use a 2013 MacBook Air every day. I am sure your MacBook Pro is much better.
- Comment on 'End of 10' to Windows 10 Users: The Environment Wants You to Use Linux 5 weeks ago:
They are selling them. Look into ESU (Extended Security Updates).
$30 a year.
- Comment on 'End of 10' to Windows 10 Users: The Environment Wants You to Use Linux 5 weeks ago:
I was for many of us. So, they were not totally wrong.
- Comment on 6* months away now. If you're on 10, do you plan to upgrade? Make the jump to Linux? 2 months ago:
With Win 11, you still get the security updates though right?
- Comment on 6* months away now. If you're on 10, do you plan to upgrade? Make the jump to Linux? 2 months ago:
I hope many of us are able to pick them up cheap instead.
- Comment on 6* months away now. If you're on 10, do you plan to upgrade? Make the jump to Linux? 2 months ago:
I always think the same. But everybody knows Bill Gates by sight. Do you think everyone instantly recognizes Satya Nadella?
- Comment on Plex is locking remote streaming behind a subscription in April 3 months ago:
It never occurred to me that when people talk about “wife factor”, they mean setup. I also thought they just meant uses
My wife uses Jellyfin and complains about it less than Netflix or Prime.
My wife is an iPhone and Mac user and asks me to set all her Apple stuff up. I get asked to fix things all the time.
Apparently neither Apple or Jellyfin have sufficient “wife factor” if we include setup.
- Comment on Plex is locking remote streaming behind a subscription in April 3 months ago:
This is the way
- Comment on Plex is locking remote streaming behind a subscription in April 3 months ago:
I have a lifetime Plex account but have not used it in two years. I use Jellyfin. Obviously opinions vary.
At home, I have FireTV and Roku devices. I stream remotely to iPhones and tablets using Twingate.
- Comment on [deleted] 3 months ago:
Recognition but not love. They will have no money.
- Comment on GitHub - LadybirdBrowser/ladybird: Truly independent web browser 3 months ago:
Ah. Gotcha. Agreed.
- Comment on GitHub - LadybirdBrowser/ladybird: Truly independent web browser 3 months ago:
Ladybird says 2026. Given the current state and progress, I believe it may be quite usable by then. I use it sometimes for basic surfing and leaving forum comments. It works surprisingly well often though it is still far from general use. I think the dev team tries to use it themselves for things like Discord and GutHub. They did a demo last month where it “almost” ran Gmail.
I am not sure that Servo has set a timeline. I expect it to take longer.
- Comment on GitHub - LadybirdBrowser/ladybird: Truly independent web browser 3 months ago:
I prefer permissive licenses but how do they reduce legal risks?
- Comment on GitHub - LadybirdBrowser/ladybird: Truly independent web browser 3 months ago:
Servo is developed by Igalia at this point. Mozilla is not involved.
- Comment on AMD captures 28.7% market share in desktops 7 months ago:
Except the businesses run by people
- Comment on smart engineering 8 months ago:
It would be better to use .PCX or .TGA