Not_mikey
@Not_mikey@lemmy.dbzer0.com
- Comment on planned date fell apart so i'm going clubbing wearing a see-through bra as a top with my girlfriends instead 1 day ago:
Serious question, not trying to justify creepy behavior, but assuming you want them to be seen what is too much for you / what makes you feel uncomfortable? Glaring for longer than say 5 seconds? Repeated glances? Facial expressions or comments?
Obviously this will vary case by case for each woman, just want to get a perspective.
- Comment on Yann LeCun just raised $1bn to prove the AI industry has got it wrong 1 day ago:
What exactly is this for? I understand LLMs have there limits with understanding physical reality, but at least they have a use case of theoretically automating the “symbolic work” ie moving symbols around on a screen or piece of paper, that white collar workers do.
Yes it’ll never be able to cook a meal or change a lightbulb, but neither will this without a significant enhancement in robotics to embody this AI. What’s the use case? Being able to better tell you how to throw a ball then a person?
- Comment on Nuclear energy enjoyers vindicated again after the rise in oil and gas prices. 3 days ago:
I guess that’s a positive spin on heat waste, I’m sure there are a lot of negative consequences from hot waste water going into streams…
Not like nuclear is the only thing that does this though, this is a problem with data centers too.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 3 days ago:
Here’s the source it’s from open AI but it is peer reviewed. Here’s another source that uses it as a baseline to compare the relative scores and according to the tables in 2023 it got a 610, putting it around the 75th percentile, and that’s just for math which the open AI study showed it did about 5% worse then it’s average so ~80th percentile for a total score. Again this is for students who are usually more prepared for the SAT than the general population, so it’s still probably in the 90th percentile for the general population.
Again for the car wash example that is not declaritive knowledge, like the pizza glue that is knowledge derived from experience and reason which I’ve said that LLMs aren’t the best at. The fact that they had to make a riddle for the AI to trip it up if anything shows how good it is. If it was as bad as you say it is then anyone could easily trip it up and get it to give a wrong answer and a study like that wouldn’t be relevant. Seriously if you think the LLM is so inaccurate, come up with your own test to stump it, it should be easy by the way you talk about them.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 3 days ago:
I think you are underestimating how accurate LLMs are because you probably don’t use them much, and only see there mistakes posted for memes. No one’s going to post the 99 times an LLM gives the correct answer, but the one time it says to put glue on pizza it’s going to go viral. So if your only view on LLM output is from posts, you’re going to think it’s way worse than it is.
Even if you mark it down for incorrect answers it’s still going to beat most people. An LLM can score in the 90th percentile in the SAT, and around the 80th percentile in the LSAT. If you take into account that people taking those tests are more prepared for them then the general population they’re probably in the 99th percentile. It doesn’t matter if you mark wrong answers negative if it’s getting 95% of the answers correctly and your average percent is getting 50% of the answers correctly.
People guess things too and will also state things confidently that they don’t completely know. If a person has a little bit of knowledge on a subject they are likely to give confidently wrong answers due to the dunning Krueger effect. If you pick a random person you’re probably just as likely to get one of these people as you are that the LLM is wrong. So is it more useful to ask something that has a 95% chance to be correct, and 5% chance to be confidently wrong, or ask a person who has a 50% chance of being correct, that includes those who guessed correctly, 5% chance of being confidently wrong and a 45% chance of saying I don’t know.
If you’re doubting my percentages on the accuracy of LLMs I’d encourage you to test them yourself. See if you can stump it on declaritive knowledge, it’s harder than the posts make it seem.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 4 days ago:
They are good at making declarative statements.
That’s not the same thing.What’s the difference between making correct declaritive statements and having declaritive knowledge? If I am able to accurately state every president of the US, wouldn’t you say I have knowledge of the list of US presidents? The only way you can judge my declaritive knowledge of something is by my ability to make accurate declaritive statements, that’s what a test is. If making accurate declaritive statements is not the measure of declaritive knowledge then what is?
An LLM will give more accurate declaritive statements on more question then any human can, would that not mean that an LLM has more declaritive knowledge than any human? So is it not more trustworthy for giving declaritive statements than any random human? Would you not trust an LLMs answer on who the 4th president is over a random human?
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 4 days ago:
I never said I don’t believe in truth, I said there are different definitions of truth and different kinds of truth, the study of this is called epistemology and I’d encourage you to look into it to better understand truth. I believe in truth derived from experience, and reasoning from first principles, 2+2=4 is true, I had coffee this morning is true. For things outside of my direct experience or that can’t be reasoned I accept that truth can be derived from trustworthy external sources. Therefore Washington was the first president is true because I’ve heard it many times from multiple trustworthy sources.
The question is whether you believe truth can be derived from external sources or are you a Cartesian skeptic? It doesn’t seem like it because that sort of worldview is very limiting. The question remains how do you know that Washington was the first president? Or even better how do you know that an LLM said to put glue on pizza? You never experienced it giving that answer, you got the idea from another source, maybe you saw a picture that could’ve easily been edited. The truth of that idea can only be derived from the trustworthiness of that source.
LLMs can’t know everything, again they have good declaritive knowledge but they completely lack experiential knowledge and struggle with reasoning. Knowing not to put glue on pizza is knowledge gained from experience: glue tastes bad and is usually inedible, and reasoning: therefore adding glue to pizza will make it taste bad and be inedible.
Every day you also probably see a new post of humans being blatantly wrong, does that mean humans can’t know things? No it just means humans have a limited area of knowledge. Same with an LLM, it can know that Washington was the first president while not knowing to not put glue on pizza, so you have to be careful what you ask it, just like when you ask human something outside their area of expertise.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 4 days ago:
How do you know that George Washington is the first president? You weren’t around in 1784, you have no experiential knowledge, you only have declarative knowledge of it, you read it from a book or heard it from a person enough to repeat the fact when asked. You are guessing what your history teacher would have said in elementary school. Declaritive knowledge is just memory and repetition, and an LLM can do memory and repetition.
Whether an LLM can determine truth depends on your definition of truth. If truth can only be obtained from experience and reasoning from first principles then an LLM can’t determine truth. Then a statement like George Washington was the first president can’t be true then because you can’t derive it from experience or first principles, you weren’t there, no one alive was there. George Washington was the first president derives it’s validity and truth from the consensus of trustworthy people who say it’s true. An LLM can derive this sort of truth by determining the consensus of its training data assuming its training data is from trustworthy sources or the more trustworthy sources are more reinforced.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 5 days ago:
An LLM has a great deal of declarative knowledge. Eg. It knows that the first president of the US is George Washington. Like humans it has built up this knowledge through reinforcement, the more a fact is reinforced by external sources, the more you/ it knows it. Like with humans when it reaches the edge of its knowledge base it will guess. If I ask someone who the 4th president of the US was they may guess Monroe, that person isn’t lying, it’s just an area that hasn’t been reinforced (studied) as much so they are making their best guess, LLMs do the same. That doesn’t mean that person cannot and will not ever know the 4th president, it just means they need more reinforcement / training / studying.
Humans as well as LLMs have a declarative knowledge area with a lot of grey area between knowing and not knowing. It’d be like a spectrum starting on one end with stuff that has been reinforced many times by people with high authority, what is your name would probably be the furthest on one side, to another end with stuff you’ve never heard or heard from untrustworthy sources. LLMs may not have the other dimension of trustworthiness that people do but the humans training it will usually compensate that with more repetition from trustworthy sources, eg. They’ll put 10 copies of the new York times and only one of younewsnow.com or whatever in the training data.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 5 days ago:
And a human’s task, along with any other lifeform, is to survive and reproduce. In pursuit of that goal we have learned many different complex strategies and methods to achieve it, same with an llm.
Peoples tasks are also not to provide accurate information, write code, provide legal advice etc. If a person can earn a living, attract a mate and raise children by lying, writing bad code, giving shitty legal advice etc. they will. It takes external discipline to make sure agents don’t follow those behaviors. For humans that discipline is provided by education, socialization, legal systems etc. For LLMs that discipline is provided by fine tuning, ie. The lying models get down rated while the more truthful models get boosted.
- Comment on Oracle Layoffs: Tech giant to slash 30,000 jobs as banks pull out from financing AI data centres | Company Business News 6 days ago:
The bubble popping seems inevitable at this point. Before the Giants were funding this by their core business plus loans backed by their core business. Now they’ve stretched their credit so much that no one’s giving them loans anymore and instead of cutting back on the building spree they’re making cuts to their core business. They’re betting that their customers are so locked in that they won’t leave despite degradation in service. How deep oracle, AWS, googles hooks are in people remain to be seen, people seem to tolerate a lot of enshitification, but there’s gotta be a tipping point. Once they reach that and the core business crashes all the rest of the dominos will fall.
- Comment on Americans: How the hell do you meet new people or get into relationships after college? 1 week ago:
Always gonna plug disc sports when threads like this pop up. Ultimate Frisbee is fun and if you live in even a minor city there’s usually a rec league to join. Has the best culture of any sport IMO, full of the chilliest most accepting people who are always looking for more people to join and with rec leagues people will sometimes go out to the bar after to hang out.
Disc golf is also great for meeting people if you’re not as into cardio. Can join tournaments and they’ll usually pair you up with people. Or just go solo to the course and occasionally someone else will offer to let you join their round or if you’re waiting with another solo at a hole you can offer to let them join you.
Both are also very cheap activities, Frisbee you just need cleats and to pay ~$50 for a rec league season. Disc golf is basically free once you get discs.
- Comment on Americans: How the hell do you meet new people or get into relationships after college? 1 week ago:
OP said he’s in car centric america, in my experience those are the only people who regularly ride bicycles.
- Comment on Why is the USA attacking Iran? 1 week ago:
Israel was able to pinpoint the location of top political figures extremely easy. That means that the civil society hates more the government than israel.
This shows more the competence of the mossad / CIA then broad support for Israel. They just need to compromise/ payoff one person at the top of the regime to get the ayatollahs location and then bomb it.
I think you’re vastly underestimating the hatred of Israel in Iran. It’s not like here in the US where people are just starting to come around to the idea that Israel is a bad actor despite the efforts of the media. In Iran the media has been constantly showcasing the atrocities of Israel and the plight of the Palestinians for decades. Even if that wasn’t enough they just bombed the country and started a war with no reason given. Even if some people hate the government more than Israel they still hate Israel, and if given a chance to decide their government, if this one falls, they will probably pick one that is antagonistic to Israel.
Same in Gaza and this is why Israel will never let there be elections in Gaza. They know that if people can vote they will vote for a government hostile to Israel, just like they did in 2006. They don’t want a government with popular support and legitimacy because it’ll make them look even worse when they bomb them.
- Comment on YSK About Ali Khamenei's fatwa against nuclear weapons 1 week ago:
Yes the Ayatollah massacred his own people, but that sadly is the logical move for an authoritarian regime. Building nukes and making the sanctions that cripple the economy which created the unrest permanent is not the best strategic move, as mentioned above. They want to get a deal done, it’s just trump / neta yahu will take nothing but complete capitulation.
They’re enriching uranium and denying inspectors because the US dropped out of the deal and they’re trying to bring them to the table. If the US is going to impose sanctions and put pressure on them they have to put pressure back on the US . Otherwise the US can just sit back and wait for the regime to collapse under the weight of crippling sanctions.
Under the JCPOA Iran never failed an inspection, it wasn’t until Trump dropped out of the deal that they stopped allowing them in, and if another deal is reached there’s no reason to believe that they’ll violate it.
- Submitted 1 week ago to youshouldknow@lemmy.world | 18 comments
- Comment on Why is the USA attacking Iran? 1 week ago:
Yes, and a lot of Iranians support their government, or want a theocracy that’s even more paternalistic. If the regime falls now you’ll most likely see either a military dictatorship take over to suppress the various conflicts and contradictions in the country, or those conflicts flare up into a civil war between theocrats and Democrats similar to Syria. Israel wants the civil war because a military dictator is still probably going to shoot missiles at them, arm Hezbollah and Hamas etc. while a civil war all the missiles are fired within the country.
- Comment on Why is the USA attacking Iran? 1 week ago:
Trump is torn between the neoconservatives like Rubio, formally bolton etc, and Israel that want regime change and his own unwillingness to go full troops on the ground. The neocons successfully get trump to blow up Obama era deals designed to keep the peace by catering to Trump’s ego telling him he can get a better deal than Obama, in reality they don’t want a deal and want to escalate but this is the best they can get.
So trump goes to the negotiating table only to find out that Obama’s deal is the best he can get. Frustrated and unwilling to admit Obama was just as good a negotiator as him he begins to blame the leaders for their intransigence. The longer this goes on the dumber he looks for blowing up the original deal and not being able to get a new one, all the while Iran is enriching more uranium to try and push the US to accept the old deal.
Then Venezuela happens and he comes up with a new plan, if you can’t change the deal you can at least change the negotiating team. He can take out the leader, use them as a scapegoat for the long stalled negotiations, sign the same deal and call it a win. Maduro repeatedly said he was willing to play ball with Trump but it would be on similar grounds to the Obama era deal but trump couldn’t go back to the US and say he re-imoosed all these sanctions for nothing, so he took out Maduro, got a reason to declare victory and went home.
My guess is he’s trying to do the same here, say all the issues with negotiations were because of the Ayatollah, sign a new version of the same deal with Trump branding like the USMCA , declare victory and head home.
Is Israel gaining something that I’m not seeing? Destabilization the main goal?
Yes, Israel doesn’t want regime change because they know hatred for Israel is so broad that it will survive a regime change. They want to turn Iran into the next Syria and get them to turn all of their ire inwards instead of at them.
- Comment on Why is the USA attacking Iran? 1 week ago:
By doing this Israel wants a more friendly government.
Israel knows there will never be a friendly government to them in Iran, Israel knows that hatred for Israel is broad and will survive a regime change, especially one triggered by a war of aggression from Israel. They’re hoping to turn Iran into the next Syria, keep them fighting amongst themselves so they can’t turn their ire towards them.
- Comment on AIs can’t stop recommending nuclear strikes in war game simulations 2 weeks ago:
That’s because it’s “read” every paper written by a “defence” department of any nuclear power and all of them will say that they’ll escalate to nuclear war if anything bad happens because they want to scare the other powers away from doing anything to them. In any case though who the fuck is giving an LLM nuclear launch capabilities unless they want a somewhat faulty dead man’s switch?
- Comment on "Being vegan is unnatural" 2 weeks ago:
Not if rfk and the beef lobby have anything to say about that
- Comment on Strange Times 2 weeks ago:
Dare you to say that to his face
- Comment on Littering 🚯 2 weeks ago:
I can’t be asked to get a license for a proper firearm
My god, what tyranny you live under, please tell me what authoritarian country you live in so uncle sam can come free you.
- Comment on Eventually, coffee moves from a drink that gets you going to an emotional support drink. 3 weeks ago:
There’s a common myth over here that coffee can stunt a child’s growth. A myth I only today learned was false after researching it for this comment.
- Comment on 'It's Possible to jailbreak F-35 like iPhone', Says Dutch State Secretary of Defense Tuinman 3 weeks ago:
Please keep buying our jets bro
We spent $1 trillion to make them bro, we need these to work bro
We’ll iron out all he bugs, trust us bro
It’s the best jet ever made bro, it’s killed so many Palestinians and Iranians bro
- Comment on Double standards 3 weeks ago:
I think they mean the guy slit the birds neck and then let it drain, instead of fully beheading it.
- Comment on Harm production 3 weeks ago:
Damn kids these days, just staring at their phone all day instead of getting drunk and wrapping their car around a tree.
- Comment on Acciracy 3 weeks ago:
Corruption and racism aren’t really unique to America though. If you look at current Japanese politics you’ll see they can be just as racist and corrupt as the US.
- Comment on Acciracy 3 weeks ago:
During my study abroad in japan we visited an elementary school as a cultural exchange. The class that day had to pick a country and list three things about it. A bunch of them picked america and the three most common things were McDonalds / hamburgers, pancakes and Disney.
- Comment on a very tasty snack 4 weeks ago:
Gonna save this pic and look at it whenever I crave meat.