yetAnotherUser
@yetAnotherUser@discuss.tchncs.de
Hi!
My previous/alt account is yetAnotherUser@feddit.de which will be abandoned soon.
- Comment on anyway, i started blastin' 1 week ago:
I’ve found a proper approximation after some time and some searching.
Since the binomial distribution has a very large n, we can use the central limit theorem and treat it as a normal distribution. The mean would be obviously 500 billion, the standard deviation is √(n * p * (1-p)) which results in 500,000.
You still cannot plug that into WA unfortunately so we have to use a workaround.
Since WA would calculate it through:
Φ(b) - Φ(a), with b = (510 billion - mean) / (standard deviation) = 20,000 and a = (490 billion - mean) / (standard deviation) = -20,000 and Φ(x) = 0.5 * (1 + erf(x/√2))
erf(x) is the error function which has one good property: erf(-x) = -erf(x)
Therefore:
Φ(20,000) - Φ(-20,000) = 0.5 * [ erf(20,000/√2) - erf(-20,000/√2) ] = erf(20,000/√2) ≈ erf(14,142)
WolframAlpha will unfortunately not calculate this either.
However, according to Wikipedia an approximation exists which shows that:
1 - erf(x) = [(1 - e^(-Ax))e^(-x²)] / (Bx√π)And apparently A = 1.98 and B = 1.135 give good approximations for all x≥0.
After failing to get a proper approximation from WA again and having to calculate every part by itself, the result is very roughly around 1 - 10^(-86,857,234).
So it is very safe to assume you will lose between 49% and 51% of your gut bacteria. For a more realistic 10 trillion you should replace a and b above with around ±63,200 but I don’t want to bother calculating the rest and having WolframAlpha tell me my intermediary steps are equal to zero.
- Comment on anyway, i started blastin' 1 week ago:
To expand a little:
For a much smaller sample size of just 1 million, the probability to lose just 1% is basically zero.
WolframAlpha doesn’t even bother to calculate the exact result and just rounds it:
- Comment on She-Ra Lives! 2 weeks ago:
You’re right in some regard though I still believe taking note of trends is important, don’t you? If most pre-record civilizations we find have behaved and lived in a certain way it could tell us something notable about our past.
- Comment on sometimes it's just easier 4 weeks ago:
DONT SAY THAT WORD IN MY CHRISTIAN HYPERCAPITALIST LEMMY
- Comment on Drink it, I dare ya 4 weeks ago:
But wait, from further down:
It is stable enough to observe reactions with NO and NO2
We now have a lower and upper bound for its reactivity at least:
able to observe reactions with NO and NO2 ≤ Reactivity < encountered in everyday life
- Comment on Equinunerous Sets 4 weeks ago:
Easy. If and only if the integer sequence A053169 contains itself.
- Comment on 7 years ago there were no billionaires worth more than $100 billion - today there are 18! 1 month ago:
That’s for the second one though, for the [verb] [noun] combination. The “[adjective]” [noun] combination implies spacefaring or similar, doesn’t it?
- Comment on 7 years ago there were no billionaires worth more than $100 billion - today there are 18! 1 month ago:
It’s not describing the noun, it’s part of the noun.
Quick analogy in German:
space billionaire = Weltraummilliärdär
spacefaring billionaire = weltraumreisender Milliärdär
In German, adjective + noun cannot be written together to form a new noun. To form one, only noun + noun can be used. And English is close enough to Germanic languages for that rule to remain the same, I think.
- Comment on 7 years ago there were no billionaires worth more than $100 billion - today there are 18! 1 month ago:
How is space an adjective in the first one? Shouldn’t it be a noun?
These Anglo-Saxons again, putting random spaces into compound words.
- Comment on Father horrified by an AI Chatbot that mimicked his murdered daughter 1 month ago:
Have you read this article yet (warning: long and sad)? The AI used was the private GPT-3 Beta in mid-2021, almost 1.5 years before ChatGPT was launched.
- Comment on There you go little guy 1 month ago:
The government would be the accuser?? Just because a camera is used for evidence doesn’t make the camera THE accuser. Civilized nations have a way to fight the camera-issued fine, for example if the photo doesn’t show your face.
- Comment on Had to read it 3 times to make sure 1 month ago:
Forced arbitration doesn’t exist in the EU so that clause doesn’t apply to Austria. Therefore, the section with King County includes:
For All Subscribers Outside the European Union and United Kingdom: […] You and Valve agree that all disputes and claims between you and Valve (including any dispute or claim that arose before the existence of this or any prior agreement) shall be commenced and maintained exclusively in any state or federal court located in King County, Washington, having subject matter jurisdiction.
- Comment on The mark 1 month ago:
But that’s not a freckle??? That’s a mole
- Comment on Why Vacuum Cleaners Are So Loud 1 month ago:
Imagine a shortsighted wolf with dirty glasses. Cleaning its glasses would make it a more effective predator, right? The same applies to the vacuum which is why you shouldn’t clean it.
- Comment on WW2 2 months ago:
did… did you piss on the flag of France
- Comment on Got caught 2 months ago:
Reconstruction of the bottom text:
Oh I see, you’re with the capital-N Nazi furs, I should have expected as much from
If only there was a way to know what follows. Alas, I won’t give that hellhole of a site any traffic
- Comment on YSK: some common medications can make you more susceptible to heat exhaustion and heat stroke 2 months ago:
cancer
- Comment on Bazzite Linux gets keyboard-less installation (good for handhelds) and smaller updates 2 months ago:
Are they just a shitty/overwhelmed/incapable moderator or do they also make bad articles? From what I can tell, the articles are fine but I only read them occasionally.
- Comment on Recommendation engine: Downvote any game you've heard of before 2 months ago:
Piggybacking off of this comment, if you happen to enjoy Minesweeper, I recommend:
No guessing is required to solve any puzzle either, despite some variants seeming completely impossible.
Fun fact: There’s an achievement for stumbling across a level with a conpletely empty starting board, without any spaces being revealed to be mines or non-mines. Yes, that can be solved without guessing.
Fun Fact 2: I’d argue there are more than 14 variants.
- Comment on . . . 2 months ago:
That’s notfunny
- Comment on North Korean charged in ransomware attacks on US hospitals. 3 months ago:
Depending on who compromised you, paying the ransom is the smart move.
As long as the hacker group has a somewhat established name and reputation, they have more to lose from keeping a copy afterwards than to gain. Trust is like half of the business model for these groups - throwing it all away for a one-time gain isn’t the smartest move.
And while you should obviously keep a backup, in the end it might be cheaper to just pay up, especially because of potential future lawsuits should customer data be leaked.
Also, you should absolutely make sure the hackers actually have stolen data instead of merely encrypting it all with a secret key. There’s no point in paying in that case.
- Comment on Zelda 64: Recompiled 4 months ago:
100% accurate emulation is basically impossible for every single console. You can get extremeley close via cycle accuracy, emulating the CPU’s instruction set but even that isn’t perfect.
You can read this for more information:
- Comment on Russia has escalated its information war against Moldova joining the European Union 4 months ago:
Gee I guess Cyprus will never be able to join the EU either then
- Comment on Babe wake up, new VLC update just dropped 4 months ago:
You are a vampire
- Comment on Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes 4 months ago:
I, K, L, T, V, X, Y are all the one’s I think (with I and K depending on how you write them).
- Comment on 'Brain-in-a-jar' biocomputers can now learn to control robots 4 months ago:
The amount isn’t necessarily an indicator of intelligence, the nunber of connections is very important too