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Gartner Predicts Over 40% of Agentic AI Projects Will Be Canceled by End of 2027

⁨181⁩ ⁨likes⁩

Submitted ⁨⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago⁩ by ⁨Pro@programming.dev⁩ to ⁨technology@lemmy.world⁩

https://www.gartner.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/2025-06-25-gartner-predicts-over-40-percent-of-agentic-ai-projects-will-be-canceled-by-end-of-2027

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Comments

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  • andallthat@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    60% success rate sounds like a very optimistic take. Investing in a AI startup with 60% chance of success? That’s a VC’s wet dream!

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    • knightly@pawb.social ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

      Not a 60% success rate, but a 60% rate of throwing good money after bad.

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      • phoenixz@lemmy.ca ⁨21⁩ ⁨hours⁩ ago

        That is still beyond extremely optimistic

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      • bytesonbike@discuss.online ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

        If that money funnels to unemployed engineers to set it up… I’m all for it.

        Take the money, do the work, jump ship.

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  • Kyrgizion@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    Low ball, rookie numbers! I say we go for 90%, including the added costs of re-hiring previous staff or training new ones.

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  • nous@programming.dev ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    Only 40%? Would have thought it would be much higher. Don’t more projects generally fail then that without being in a bubble?

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    • mostlikelyaperson@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

      I suspect they didn’t want to make it sound alarmist or something, but yes the real percentage is likely going to be higher, including a good chunk of “technically finished but remaining unused and forever idle on some box until it’s quietly shut down 5-10 years later @

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    • shalafi@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

      The numbers are for failures in the next two years. Plenty of projects will coast that long on investment dollars.

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  • killeronthecorner@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    Bubble grows big, bubble goes pop.

    You can’t explain that!

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    • shalafi@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

      Investors are well aware this is a bubble. But they can’t risk losing the bet when the stakes are the next Google, or even the next internet.

      And no matter what, AI is here to stay and someone is coming out on top.

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  • Dolphinfreetuna@lemmy.world ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    40% of what? Just random number of projects these webinar attendees thought of??

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    • bytesonbike@discuss.online ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

      Then they’ll go: “Source: my presentation from last year where I made up that number”

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  • truxnell@aussie.zone ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    About time we saw a more balances take.

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    • wizardbeard@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

      Especially from Gartner of all places. Maybe this will finally start tempering the hype in the executives.

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      • frezik@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

        Seems like every time the hype is about to die, there’s a big announcement about a model breakthrough. The breakthrough usually isn’t as revolutionary as it first appears, but it’s enough to keep funding going.

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  • mesamunefire@piefed.social ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    Sounds like a number pulled out the butt. It will be closer to all of them going by GitHub projects spun up on the timeline, never to be completed.

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  • john_lemmy@slrpnk.net ⁨1⁩ ⁨day⁩ ago

    Is Gartner one of those sources that causes avalanches in the VC / tech world? Because it would be lovely to see this popping asap

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  • phoenixz@lemmy.ca ⁨21⁩ ⁨hours⁩ ago

    Love the optimism where they think we’ll all survive until 2027

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