Gartner Predicts Over 40% of Agentic AI Projects Will Be Canceled by End of 2027

Comments

• andallthat@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  60% success rate sounds like a very optimistic take. Investing in a AI startup with 60% chance of success? That’s a VC’s wet dream!

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  • knightly@pawb.social ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Not a 60% success rate, but a 60% rate of throwing good money after bad.

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    • phoenixz@lemmy.ca ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      That is still beyond extremely optimistic

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    • bytesonbike@discuss.online ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      If that money funnels to unemployed engineers to set it up… I’m all for it.

      Take the money, do the work, jump ship.

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• Kyrgizion@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Low ball, rookie numbers! I say we go for 90%, including the added costs of re-hiring previous staff or training new ones.

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• nous@programming.dev ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Only 40%? Would have thought it would be much higher. Don’t more projects generally fail then that without being in a bubble?

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  • mostlikelyaperson@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    I suspect they didn’t want to make it sound alarmist or something, but yes the real percentage is likely going to be higher, including a good chunk of “technically finished but remaining unused and forever idle on some box until it’s quietly shut down 5-10 years later @

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  • shalafi@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    The numbers are for failures in the next two years. Plenty of projects will coast that long on investment dollars.

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• killeronthecorner@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Bubble grows big, bubble goes pop.

  You can’t explain that!

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  • shalafi@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Investors are well aware this is a bubble. But they can’t risk losing the bet when the stakes are the next Google, or even the next internet.

    And no matter what, AI is here to stay and someone is coming out on top.

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• Dolphinfreetuna@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  40% of what? Just random number of projects these webinar attendees thought of??

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  • bytesonbike@discuss.online ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Then they’ll go: “Source: my presentation from last year where I made up that number”

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• truxnell@aussie.zone ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  About time we saw a more balances take.

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  • wizardbeard@lemmy.dbzer0.com ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Especially from Gartner of all places. Maybe this will finally start tempering the hype in the executives.

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    • frezik@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Seems like every time the hype is about to die, there’s a big announcement about a model breakthrough. The breakthrough usually isn’t as revolutionary as it first appears, but it’s enough to keep funding going.

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• mesamunefire@piefed.social ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Sounds like a number pulled out the butt. It will be closer to all of them going by GitHub projects spun up on the timeline, never to be completed.

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• john_lemmy@slrpnk.net ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Is Gartner one of those sources that causes avalanches in the VC / tech world? Because it would be lovely to see this popping asap

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• phoenixz@lemmy.ca ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Love the optimism where they think we’ll all survive until 2027

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