I find it funny that in the year 2000 while attending philosophy at University of Copenhagen I predicted strong AI around 2035. This was based on calculations of computational power, and estimates of software development.
At the time I had already been interested in AI development and matters of consciousness for many years. And I was a decent programmer. I already made self modifying code back in 1982. So I made this prediction at a time where AI wasn’t a very popular topic, and in the middle of a decades long futile desert walk without much progress.
And for 15 about years, very little continued to happen. It was pretty obvious the approach behind for instance Deep Blue wasn’t the way forward. But that seemed to be the norm for a long time.
But it looks to me that the understanding of how to build a strong AI is much much closer now. We might actually be halfway there!
I think we are pretty close to having the computational power needed now in AI specific datacenter clusters, but the software isn’t quite there yet.
I’m honestly not that interested in the current level of AI, although LLM can yield very impressive results at times, it’s also flawed.
partially self driving cars are kind of irrelevant IMO. But truly self driving cars will make all the difference, and be a cool achievement for current level of AI evolution when achieved.
So current level AI can be useful, but when we achieve strong AI it will make all the difference!
hightrix@lemmy.world 11 months ago
AI is the evolution of tools. Like any other modern tool, either learn it and use it or be left behind.
scarabic@lemmy.world 11 months ago
What a brave, original thought. Did an AI write this for you?
hightrix@lemmy.world 11 months ago
No, but thank you!
rottingleaf@lemmy.world 11 months ago
Is Instagram a modern tool too? Just - felt segregated due to not using it and such shit in my teens, and now it’s apparently something from the past, and I still haven’t used it.
Curious_Canid@lemmy.ca 11 months ago
And a great many tools have a brief period of excitement before people realize they aren’t actually all that useful. (“The Segway will change the way everyone travels!”) There are aspects of limited AI that are quite useful. There are other aspects that are counter-productive at the current level of capability. Marketing hype is pushing anything with AI in the name, but it will all settle out eventually. When it does, a lot of people will have wasted a lot of time, and caused some real damage, by relying on the parts that are not yet practical.
Chulk@lemmy.ml 11 months ago
Agreed. “use it or be left behind” itself sounds like a phrase straight out of a marketing pitch from every single AI-centric" company that pushes their “revolutionary” product. It’s a phrase that i hear daily from c-suite executives that know very little of what they’re talking about. AI (specifically generative) has its usecases, but it’s nowhere near where the marketing says it is. And when it finally does get there, i think people are going to be surprised when they don’t find themselves in the utopia that they’ve been promised.
hightrix@lemmy.world 11 months ago
Absolutely agreed all around.
For me, in my job, AI has been a fantastic tool. It feels like I was using a plain screw driver and now I have a cordless, light power drill. It really is doing “grunt” work for me so I can focus on the more complex tasks.