Submitted 1 year ago by BrikoX@lemmy.zip to globalnews@lemmy.zip
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2025/feb/06/asteroid-impact-chances
Space rock now has 2.3% risk of collision – up from 1.3% in December – but danger is likely to fall with more data
Archived version: archive.is/newest/…/asteroid-impact-chances
Disclaimer: The article linked is from a single source with a single perspective. Make sure to cross-check information against multiple sources to get a comprehensive view on the situation.
What are the odds that if it hits the Earth it would hit Moscow? Asking for my friends.
The impact risk corridor isn’t anywhere near Russia.
See: iawn.net/…/IAWN_Potential_Impact_Notification_202…
Here’s an image to visualise if that’s more to your liking: …wikimedia.org/…/2024_YR4_risk_corridor.png
I’m confused how they can be so certain where it will hit but not if. I would think basically that while side of the planet is within the region of uncertainty. I guess it’s probably because they can define the orbit in a plane rather precisely, but within that plane, other axes are more difficult to get precision numbers on.
Pretty sure I am in the “survived the initial impact, now get to suffer.”
I guess it depends of the point of reference. I would say that looks pretty close to Russia.
The same of it hitting Washington D.C.
Sad.
Don’t panic? I think a lot of people may be rooting for the asteroid by the time it gets here.
By the time it gets here? How about right now.
Maybe it will finally uncover some rare earth
by the time it gets here
Can we move the timetable up?
I mean, think of all the jobs it will bring.
I’ve got my towel, I’m ready.
It’s too small and too far out for it to matter. It’s 7 years out, low likelihood, and too small to do anything but erase a city. We have civilization-ending threats at home.
It’ll do more than wipe out a city. If it hits in a populated area it’ll take out an entire region, a city in all its surrounding accoutrements + a fair amount of peripheral land.
burgersc12@mander.xyz 1 year ago
I know who I’m voting for in 2032, still disappointed he lost in 2024 Image