- People who came here expecting a monolithic Reddit 2.0 will either leave for the hot new thing or centralize themselves on a few major mega-instances.
- Smaller instances will be their own communities (in the general sense) and those that are similar enough will form “neighborhoods” (not in a defederation sense but in an unofficial “hey we talk between each other quite a lot” kinda ad-hoc sense)
- There will be Lemmy forks (or several completely new software) that’s explicitly aimed at the above mentioned smaller instances
- Think of Glitch or Hometown over on Masto, or Akkoma
- In a defederation sense, there will be a large and complex venn diagram of instance connections as instance admins take stances between reddit-style free-for-all and safer spaces (and yes, the occasional completely freeze-peach instances that’ll get defederated from both)
- Quite a few smaller instances will defederate or otherwise limit communication (assuming the options will exist) from above mega-instances as they’ll be extremely lax on moderation to not lose the Reddit free-for-all audience.
TLDR: Just look at the microblogging side of the fedi.
TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 1 year ago
I think there will need to be a re-invention/ re-write before the ‘real’ lemmy happens.
The issues around discovery, identity and communities being attached to a server, and how this impacts the math of the networking aspect of the whole concept are really what is preventing Lemmy from not only beating social media like Reddit, but representing a major improvement. The project has grown enough to make that kind of re-investment of time more palatable, but as lemmy currently stands, the protocol is in the way.
Chickenstalker@lemmy.world 1 year ago
We don’t need to beat reddit. We don’t need to beat anyone. There are no investors or shareholders. There are no stock listings. There are no ads or addictive algos. We are fine as we are now. There is no need for exponential growth. Lemmy should simply be.
TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Yeah actually, being better matters. Projects like this die with stagnation and attitudes like yours. Sure they’ll limp around for years with some core die hards or niche communities, but thats (see: fark, SA, usenet, CL ads, etc…), but that’s not the point. Lemmys design is working against its self. Its not clear that it can be fixed under ‘lemmy’ as it currently exists.
The experience can be much better and there is a clear path towards it. The basic math of how networks operate that creates this issue and its baked into the underlying structure of how lemmy was planned. If these improvements arent implemented, the platform will stagnate: all platforms that don’t improve do this. They may persist but they fail to grow, and attrition is constant.
Lodra@programming.dev 1 year ago
While I agree that we don’t need to “beat” anything or strive for growth, I do think those things will happen naturally if the system is an improvement. And while lemmy’s potential is great, there are challenges that come with federation, like those mentioned above. And those problems should be solved in time. Not to generate growth but to improve the system. Growth may follow