Comment on Tesla Robotaxis Are Crashing More Than 12 Times as Frequently as Human Drivers

communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

• skisnow@lemmy.ca ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  That’s not how you measure sample size but ok

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  • communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    it’s correct that 8 is not the sample size, but they didn’t give the sample size, it would be how many cars there are and the number of miles, not just the number of miles, they also didn’t establish fault and this was with a human in the loop, i’m all for hating elon but this isn’t worth reporting without more info.

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    • skisnow@lemmy.ca ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      They gave you all the numbers you need to calculate the sample size for the Robotaxis, and it’s safe to assume the sample size for regular cars will be much higher.

      Tesla Robotaxis are involved in a crash for every 40,000 miles they drive. For comparison, the publication reported, cars driven by humans crash about once every 500,000 miles, meaning the Robotaxis so far have crashed 12.5 times more frequently than human-driven cars.

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      • communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        I don’t see how this gives sample size, are you considering every mile a sample?

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• cley_faye@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  One would expect such a small sample size to lower the crash rates. But tesla is subverting expectations yet again.

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  • communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    no you wouldn’t, it would just make it less accurate

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  • jj4211@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    A small sample size would just make the prediction highly uncertain, could be way better or way worse.

    However others have made the observation that it’s reasonable to consider the miles driven as the sample size, and at over 300,000 miles, it is a bit more credible sounding.

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• LittleBorat3@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  Do they have different personalities, are the tolerances so great unit to unit? What do you even mean?

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  • communist@lemmy.frozeninferno.xyz ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    I mean 8 crashes is not a lot to work with statistically to the point where this is nearly meaningless.

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