Poopypoops?
Comment on [deleted]
owenfromcanada@lemmy.ca 5 months ago
No.
People have lived into their 80s for millenia. Average lifespan used to be shorter because of the amount of infant mortality. That is, anyone who made it out of childhood was likely to make it at least to their 60s, barring things like war and plague.
The simpler explanation is that the study is cookydooks.
krooklochurm@lemmy.ca 5 months ago
Talonflame@lemmy.cafe 5 months ago
[deleted]owenfromcanada@lemmy.ca 5 months ago
I’m not sure what the difference between “lifespan” and “expectancy” is other than semantics, given the context of your questions. Regardless of what our DNA says, our life expectancy is typically in the 70s or 80s, and that hasn’t changed much throughout known human history, so it has nothing to do with modern technology.
Talonflame@lemmy.cafe 5 months ago
[deleted]Tenniswaffles@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 months ago
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2625386/
sc.edu/…/conversation-old-age-is-not-a-modern-phe…
sapiens.org/…/life-expectancy-measure-mispercepti…
Logically, average life expectancy cannot be higher than average lifespan. For that to be true would mean that more people who made it out of childhood lived past their expected lifespan than didn’t, which doesn’t make sense.
If the expected lifespan is 38, than the average life expectancy before medical science advanced to the point where we could extend it should be lower than 38, but we in fact know that more often than not if you made it out of childhood in the past your chances of making it to 50+ were good, barring disease, war or what have you.
missingno@fedia.io 5 months ago
Humans lived past 38 long before modern technology.
AbouBenAdhem@lemmy.world 5 months ago
Unless I missed something, the word “telomeres” doesn’t occur in the article or its source paper—rather, it discusses the rate of DNA methylation.
IMO, the key passage in the paper is this:
However, any genetic regulation for a species may potentially be a secondary factor as there may be other environmental selective pressures. This may be the case with species which have lifespans post reproductive age and therefore, there may be non-genetic factors that may be more predictive of their maximum lifespan.
I suspect that the methylation rate is actually tracking the end of the reproductive stage of the lifecycle, rather than the length of the lifecycle as a whole.
Talonflame@lemmy.cafe 5 months ago
[deleted]AbouBenAdhem@lemmy.world 5 months ago
It’s saying 38 is the maximum lifespan predicted by their model—but it also says their model has an R^2 of 0.76, meaning their model only accounts for about 76% of the actual measured variation. And then they mention other factors that could account for the remaining 24% of the variation, including post-reproductive-age lifespan.
Buffalox@lemmy.world 5 months ago
That is completely wrong. discovermagazine.com/what-was-the-life-expectancy…
Note that Lifespan is NOT the same as life expectancy:
my.clevelandclinic.org/health/articles/lifespan
So 30000 years ago 30 years was pretty much the maximum age a person could achieve. Life expectancy would probably have been 15-20.
Read my other comment, the study is probably pretty close to the truth.
lemmy.world/comment/19682894