Saledovil
@Saledovil@sh.itjust.works
- Comment on Years ago while drunk and high I sent my sister a syphilis plushy. 1 week ago:
I gave my sister food poisoning.
- Comment on SpaceX says states should dump fiber plans, give all grant money to Starlink 2 weeks ago:
Problem with Starlink is that the satellites need to be replaced every 5 years or so.
- Comment on AI experts return from China stunned: The U.S. grid is so weak, the race may already be over 2 weeks ago:
Yeah, but my point was that our current economic system can’t deal with, not that we can’t deal with it in general. Migrating away from the current system would require the powerful to give up their power, which they won’t do willingly, even as the walls are closing in. (In fact, when it comes to global warming, the walls are closing in).
- Comment on AI experts return from China stunned: The U.S. grid is so weak, the race may already be over 2 weeks ago:
So, why are declining birth rates not a problem?
- Comment on AI experts return from China stunned: The U.S. grid is so weak, the race may already be over 2 weeks ago:
It’s not shrinking yet, the birth rate is declining, and the world population is projected to start declining 2050.
- Comment on AI experts return from China stunned: The U.S. grid is so weak, the race may already be over 2 weeks ago:
Maybe. Could also be that humans never invent anything that comes close to a biological brain. Either because we simply aren’t smart enough, or because civilization regresses before we get there. And there’s several trends going on currently which could cause civilization to regress. For example, climate change and declining birth rates (While we could set up an economic system that can deal with a shrinking and aging population, our current one cannot).
- Comment on Forget Netflix, Volkswagen locks horsepower behind paid subscription 2 weeks ago:
It actually does have a cost incurred on them via increased wear and tear and warranty claims.
The customer friendly way to deal with this would be put in a limiter, and write in the contract “Warranty void if limiter removed”.
- Comment on Forget Netflix, Volkswagen locks horsepower behind paid subscription 2 weeks ago:
Here’s an interesting graphic: fiets.uk/…/cost_of_commute-1024x713.jpg
It states that for every dollar you pay to drive your car, society pays 9.20$. Implications being that if driving a car wasn’t subsidized, the costs would be 10 times as big.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
So, you admit that it was funny?
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
I’d ask you to read the Wikipedia disambiguation page on scaling (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scaling), but you’re likely too scared to consider anything that doesn’t conform to your simplistic worldview.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
I said “scaling” not “scale”. “Scaling” refers to how output and expenses of the enterprise behaves as it becomes bigger or smaller. Threeduck seems to think it means “big”. And then immediately refers the holocaust for some reason.
Though, the term is broad, hence why I asked them about how they interpret the term.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
Do you know what I mean by “scaling”? Because going by your reply, you don’t.
- Comment on Fact-Checking Trump’s Epstein Defenses: In face of mounting discontent over his administration’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files, President Trump has turned to deflection, denial & downplaying 3 weeks ago:
This means he’s mentioned so often in the files, that it’s impossible to edit all of it out.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
Current genAI? Never. There’s at least one breakthrough needed to build something capable of actual thinking.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
Death Industry sounds like it would be an awesome band name.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
Animal agriculture has significantly better utility and scaling than LLMs. So, its not hypocritical to be opposed to the latter but not the former.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
He’s also already admitted that they’re out of training data. If you’ve wondered why a lot more websites will run some sort of verification when you connect, it’s because there’s a desperate scramble to get more training data.
- Comment on OpenAI will not disclose GPT-5’s energy use. It could be higher than past models 3 weeks ago:
It’s safe to assume that any metric they don’t disclose is quite damning to them. Plus, these guys don’t really care about the environmental impact, or what us tree-hugging environmentalists think. I’m assuming the only group they are scared of upsetting right now is investors. The thing is, even if you don’t care about the environment, the problem with LLMs is how poorly they scale.
An important concept when evaluating how something scales is are marginal values, chiefly marginal utility and marginal expenses. Marginal utility is how much utility do you get if you get one more unit of whatever. Marginal expenses is how much it costs to get one more unit. And what the LLMs produce is the probably that a token, T, follows on prefix Q. So P(T|Q) (read: Probably of T, given Q). This is done for all known tokens, and then based on these probabilities, one token is chosen at random. This token is then appended to the prefix, and the process repeats, until the LLM produces a sequence which indicates that it’s done talking.
If we now imagine the best possible LLM, then the calculated value for P(T|Q) would be the actual value. However, it’s worth noting that this already displays a limitation of LLMs. Namely even if we use this ideal LLM, we’re just a few bad dice rolls away from saying something dumb, which then pollutes the context. And the larger we make the LLM, the closer its results get to the actual value. A potential way to measure this precision would be by subtracting P(T|Q) from P_calc(T|Q), and counting the leading zeroes, essentially counting the number of digits we got right. Now, the thing is that each additional digit only provides a tenth of the utility to than the digit before it. While the cost for additional digits goes up exponentially.
So, exponentially decaying marginal utility meets exponentially growing marginal expenses. Which is really bad for companies that try to market LLMs.
- Comment on Techcrunch reports that AI coding tools have "very negative" gross margins. They're losing money on every user. 3 weeks ago:
Venture capitalism is when you give somebody money to start a business in hopes that they make it big, giving you really valuable equity for relatively little money. What you’re thinking of is blitzscaling. Scale up in an unsustainable way in order to gain market dominance, so that you can use that to become profitable.
- Comment on People were mad because they lost their AI boyfriend after GPT-4o deprecation 3 weeks ago:
So, those things are going backwards.
- Comment on Tucson City Council votes 7-0, unanimously to kill AI Data Center 4 weeks ago:
I doubt a microchip that doesn’t need cooling, while still calculating reasonably fast, is possible.
- Comment on This boomer couple would be hit with $700,000 tax bill if they sold their mansion 4 weeks ago:
Not if you need it to buy a house.
- Comment on This boomer couple would be hit with $700,000 tax bill if they sold their mansion 4 weeks ago:
The fact that the house is woth that much in the first place. Thing is owning a single home doesn’t make you rich, since you need a home to life, you can’t get that money unless you’re willing to downgrade. Now these people are, but the tax is limiting their options. Real estate should be taxed while you have it, not when you sell.
- Comment on YSK Iranian developers have created an open-source censorship bypass solution that works on desktop and mobile. 5 weeks ago:
The fact that this image is in the repo in the first place.
- Comment on Meta touts 'superintelligence' for all as it splurges on AI 5 weeks ago:
The whole exponential improvement hypothesis assumes that the marginal cost of each improvement stays the same. Which is a huge assumption.
- Comment on Billionaire Mark Zuckerberg writes a manifesto on bringing "personal superintelligence" to everyone to improve humanity, but doesn't even define what superintelligence means. 5 weeks ago:
A superintelligence would likely quickly become the sovereign of the earth. And it’s generally a good idea to kill the old elite after conquering a nation, then install new ones. The new ones will like you, because you made them rich, and they’ll fear you, because you killed off all of their predecessors. Of course, there’s also the risk that a super intelligence would just do away with humans in general. But anybody holding significant power right now is much more at risk.
And we can’t forget that we currently can’t even build something that’s actually intelligent, and that a super intelligence might not actually be possible.
- Comment on PSA on privuhcy 5 weeks ago:
Actually, it’s a a bit of a shitpost. Anything after the ‘?’ is an argument for the html request. Can and is used for tracking, but is also used for website functionality.
- Comment on Do you think GOG might be the next? 1 month ago:
I’ll need to read up on this.
- Comment on YouTuber Faces Possible Jail Time for Reviewing Gaming Handhelds 1 month ago:
Then why did you cite a source that doesn’t claim that the CIA was supporting the right wingers?
- Comment on YouTuber Faces Possible Jail Time for Reviewing Gaming Handhelds 1 month ago:
So, do you have any actual evidence that the CIA got involved in the years of lead? Or are you seriously trying to tell me that the Red Brigades were CIA puppets?
