BluesF
@BluesF@lemmy.world
- Comment on An unwritten 'country code' is putting Rob's life at risk on the road, and all he's doing is turning right 4 weeks ago:
Why would you not use your hazards? Using just one indicator really does seem insane…
- Comment on 360 Degrees Owl 4 weeks ago:
I stand corrected, owls are indeed some exorcist shit
- Comment on 360 Degrees Owl 4 weeks ago:
That’s still not 270 in either direction, that would be a total of 540!! That’s seriously exorcist shit
- Comment on 360 Degrees Owl 4 weeks ago:
I really doubt they can go 270 degrees in either direction.
- Comment on Despair in Sweden as gangs recruit kids as contract killers 4 weeks ago:
Are you saying that despite the fact the argument is based in racism rather than reality, we should act as if it was real, because people believe it?
- Comment on Frog's Gift 1 month ago:
Musk continues to demonstrate loud and clear that he is none of the things he claims to be.
- Comment on Little dude ATP 1 month ago:
ChatGPT missing the question
- Comment on Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy 1 month ago:
Yes, and given infinite monkeys no doubt they will eventually evolve into something that allows them to escape!
- Comment on Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy 1 month ago:
A monkey could type any infinite sequence of letters if it types at random. Since infinite sequences of single letters, repeating patterns, and those containing hamlet except one letter is wrong every time are all possible infinite sequences, it’s possible that the money produces one of them.
Probability behaves strangely in infinite situations. A single monkey will almost surely produce the complete works of Shakespeare in infinite time… But this is partially a flaw of infinity in general.
As another example, let’s say your monkey produces an infinite sequence containing hamlet. What is the probability of that particular sequence arising? It’s 0. There is no chance of any particular sequence arising… And yet that one did arise! It was almost surely not going to be that one, but it was. The probability of any single infinite sequence arising is 0, but nonetheless one of them will be the outcome.
- Comment on Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy 1 month ago:
The probability is 1 but that does not mean that it will happen. There is a set of options where it does not happen. It happens “almost surely”.
- Comment on Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy 1 month ago:
One monkey may never produce it even given infinite time. It could just produce an infinite string of the letter a and never change it’s mind. That’s less likely that it writing hamlet, or even many hamlets… But nonetheless, it could. In fact all of the infinite monkeys could do that. If you repeated the experiment and infinite number of times, it’s likely that one of them will simple produce an infinite number of infinite strings of only the letter A. Or, idk, ASCII art.
- Comment on Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy 1 month ago:
No, it isn’t, that’s a misunderstanding of how independent random variables behave. Even with an infinite number of trials, there is never a guarantee that any particular outcome will happen.
Consider a coin flip, 50/50 chance of either getting heads or tails on each flip. Lets say we do an infinite number of flips, one by one, so that we end up with an infinite ordered set of outcomes, like so: {H, T, T, H, … }. Now, consider the probability of getting a particular arrangement of heads/tails in this infinite list, like the one I wrote before. You can’t calculate a probability for each arrangement - there are an infinite number - but it should be clear that each arrangement is equally likely, right? Because {H, …} is just as likely as {T, …}, same with {H, H, …} and {H, T, … } and so on and so on. In other words the probabilty of getting all heads on infinite coin flips is the same as the probability of getting any other combination.
In the same way, the infinite monkeys are doing ‘coin flips’ involving more than 2 options. Lets just assume they have 26 keys, one for each letter, and assume they hit each of them with equal probability. In the same way, for an individual monkey the probability of going {a, a, a, a, a, a, …, a} is the same as the probability of the same sequence with hamlet somewhere (in a particular position that is - the probabilities are only equal when we consider exactly one arrangement). What might make it more intuitively clear is that even after an infinite number of trials you only have one sequence of letters (or set of sequences, with infinite monkeys). It’s clear that there are other possible sequences - like only the letter a - and these all have a non 0 chance of having arisen given a different infinite set of monkeys for a different infinite time period.
It’s easy to be misled here! If we return to the coin flip example, the probability of flipping at least 1 head after infinite coin flips approaches 1. The limit of P(at least one H) as the number of flips approaches infinity is 1. But this is a limit! You never reach the limit, even considering infinite situations.
- Comment on Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy Infintiy 1 month ago:
Not necessarily. Each monkey is independent, right? So if we think about the first letter, it’s either going to be, idk, A, the correct letter, or B, any wrong letter. Any monkey that types B is never going to get there. Now each money independently chooses between them. With each second monkey, the chances in aggregate get smaller and smaller than we only see B, but… It’s never a 0 chance that the monkey hits B. If there’s only two keys, it’s always 50/50. And it could through freak chance turn out that they all hit B… Forever. There is never a guarantee that you will get even a single correct letter… Even with infinite monkeys.
I get that it seems like infinity has to include every possible outcome, because the limit of P(at least one monkey typing A) as the number of monkeys goes to infinity is 1… But a limit is not a value. The probability never reaches 1 even with infinite monkeys.
- Comment on That chicken's name? Joe Rogan 1 month ago:
I really wanted to like that book, but aggressively making points I agree with just wasn’t enough
- Comment on Pretty sound reasoning here. 2 months ago:
10/10 callback to smooth sharks at the end there.
- Comment on Please be patient. 2 months ago:
No Peter, this isn’t an electron, this is the power of the sun
- Comment on Some explicitly single-user ActivityPub software to check out 2 months ago:
Rhyming slang isn’t really supposed to be funny, rather obfuscatory. It’s almost like a cipher, so that anyone not in the know doesn’t understand. That’s a theory, anyway.
- Comment on I hate that that happens 2 months ago:
Inspired by the story, another landlord decides to name their pub “Pig and And and And and Whistle.” Lo and behold, the sign was cramped… Ther needed more space between Pig and and and and and And and And and and and and and And and And and and and and and Whistle.
- Comment on Researchers say an AI-powered transcription tool used in hospitals invents things no one ever said 2 months ago:
This one was wild:
In an example they uncovered, a speaker said, “He, the boy, was going to, I’m not sure exactly, take the umbrella.”
But the transcription software added: “He took a big piece of a cross, a teeny, small piece … I’m sure he didn’t have a terror knife so he killed a number of people.”
From picking up and object to mass murder lmao. Not even close!
- Comment on Eat lead 2 months ago:
All the cool people will be right there with you my friend. Well, almost all, anyway.
- Comment on Minecraft is losing VR support next year 2 months ago:
Huh. I had no idea you could play it in VR. Doesn’t really seem like a game which would be at all enjoyable in VR tbh, too much movement - especially vertical and sudden. I do not enjoy the idea of facing a creeper in person lol
- Comment on #notaseagull 2 months ago:
Wikipedia on Larus marinus, or the great black-backed gull:
The scientific name is from Latin. Larus appears to have referred to a gull or other large seabird. The specific name marinus means “marine”, or when taken together, “sea gull”.
If that’s not a seagull I don’t know what is.
- Comment on Can I not be an adorable junkie 2 months ago:
Nah I think that says… Uh… Heeeim. Yea.
- Comment on Worshippers of Cthulhum, a Lovercraftian themed town builder where you play the bad guys, released in early access on Steam 2 months ago:
“Lovercraftian” is a fun typo. I’m imagining developing a casual fwb relationship with Azathoth. Taking Cthulhu for a long walk on the beaches around R’lyeh…
- Comment on Big Ol' Beavers 2 months ago:
They were going to say “bigger than Jesus” but it was deemed too controversial.
- Comment on So bad it was actually entertaining 2 months ago:
According to their website they got bought and the staff are no longer rude… No information on if the food is still good lol
- Comment on Vital Statistics 2 months ago:
I’ve met a British man taller than that! This is all lies!
- Comment on Hmmmm 2 months ago:
Ah, yes. Of course. I understand your frustration entirely because of my deep understanding of the specific situation.
- Comment on Men Harassed A Woman In A Driverless Waymo, Trapping Her In Traffic 2 months ago:
Yeah I misread before I commented, I didn’t know robot taxis were a thing, Jesus…
- Comment on Men Harassed A Woman In A Driverless Waymo, Trapping Her In Traffic 2 months ago:
Surely you can just take over? You can’t expect the car to run people over for you lol