Moore’s law has been dead for a long long time.
yeah i thought 4TB would be like $50 now. whatever happened to moore’s law
TheGrandNagus@lemmy.world 10 months ago
neclimdul@lemmy.world 10 months ago
No need to downvote this. It’s an insidery technically correct statement. We’ve redefined how we measure Moore’s law several times to make it “keep working” and some people designing chips, not selling them, think it’s not only outlined it’s usefulness but also not true anymore.
TheGrandNagus@lemmy.world 10 months ago
In my experience, a lot of people incorrectly conflate Moore’s Law with “computers get faster”
So when you say Moore’s Law is dead and it’s unrealistic to expect it not to be, they get upset and jump to the conclusion that you’re defending tech companies for giving paltry upgrades, which obviously isn’t what I’m doing.
There are other things to PCs getting faster in a post Moore’s Law world. Architecture improvements, hardware acceleration, advanced packaging such as AMD’s chiplet technology, etc - these are all commonplace and have replaced the idea of “let’s just double transistor counts every two years”
neclimdul@lemmy.world 10 months ago
We’ve gone through die size, clock speed, instructions and operations, the transistors count. All are stand-ins for “complexity” which is why some people question if the law ever existed.
That said, regardless of the “real” law, until recently the colloquial usage has always been a stand in for how “quick” a processor is. In that sense, you really need to do some hand waving around core counts and even then it doesn’t really work.
Maybe more importantly, one of the most important processor markets are mobile and servers which are largely focused on less complex more efficient processors like arm.
So outside of marketing, it’s very easy to see why a lot of people think Moore’s law is dead and we’re all better for it. We can continually make better processors without trying to meet some arbitrary metric that didn’t really mean anything useful to start with.
fugacity@kbin.social 10 months ago
Moore's law hasn't died, if you mean number of transistors per area. Linear scaling to transistor counts has.
TheGrandNagus@lemmy.world 10 months ago
It absolutely has. Transistor count in an area absolutely is not doubling every two years.
fugacity@kbin.social 10 months ago
I just checked. Yup, you're right. Funny though that Pat of all people claims it's not dead lol
bassomitron@lemmy.world 10 months ago
I thought Moore’s law was only for CPUs?
mihnt@lemmy.world 10 months ago
Moore’s law is the observation that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit doubles about every two years. Moore’s law is an observation and projection of a historical trend.
It is.
Aceticon@lemmy.world 10 months ago
It’s about the shrinking in integrated circuit feature size, hence increase in IC element densities, so it applies to memories which are integrated circuits such as flash memory and the various kinds of RAM, but not to magnetic storage such as in HDDs as they’re something else altogether.
That said, I believe (but am not absolutelly sure) that IC feature size has been shrinking slower than Moore’s Law predicts for maybe a decade as the size of the features becomes so small that quantum-level effects start becoming a problem (think stuff like signal leaks due to quantum tunnelling).
fuckwit_mcbumcrumble@lemmy.world 10 months ago
As tech shrinks it’s only getting more and more expensive per mm. Unless we get some major improvement we’re kinda at the limit for the moment.
fugacity@kbin.social 10 months ago
Moore's law makes no comments about the cost of each transistor in an advanced process. And believe me, they ain't cheap. It's not a coincidence we're up to PLC flash... why go for 32 levels when TLC is likely already a pain?
altima_neo@lemmy.zip 10 months ago
Yeah, spend $200 on a 4tb m.2 gen4, or $200 on a 18tb hdd
Appoxo@lemmy.dbzer0.com 10 months ago
You couldnt even get a good 4tb sata ssd for 50€ what made you hope for nvme?
Lath@kbin.social 10 months ago
Unregulated capitalism some would say, I say cheap production costs with little to no consequence whatsoever for them doing this kind of thing.
fartsparkles@sh.itjust.works 10 months ago
Exactly, if forced scarcity was regulated, we’d be an entirely different situation. For instance diamonds would be practically worthless.
fugacity@kbin.social 10 months ago
Unless this is a matter of price collusion (which I doubt as it appears more as a supply demand issue) I don't think this unregulated capitalism is bad. Last I checked making any kind of products involving semiconductors isn't cheap or easy. Maybe it is once you figure out how to, but the R&D costs involved are insane.
We as consumers want prices as low as possible. Suppliers want prices as high as possible. Samsung (and the like) clearly aren't willing to make more of a product at the price that it is currently at (which is a mistake to begin with). There are plentu of other players making ssds, and the prices are all very similar. Something tells me that they're not gonna price things for cheaper because they can't survive that way.