Comment on What If There’s No AGI?

• voronaam@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  This is a funny graph. What’s the Y-axis? Why the hell DVDs are a bigger innovation than a Steam Engine or a Light Bulb? It has a way bigger increase on the Y-axis.

  In fact, the top 3 innovations since 1400 according to the chart are

  1. Microprocessors
  2. Man on Moon
  3. DVDs

  And I find it funny that in the year 2025 there are no people on the Moon and most people do not use DVDs anymore.

  And speaking of Microprocessors, why the hell Transistors and not on the chart? Or even Computers in general? Where did the humanity placed their Microprocessors before Apple Macintosh was designed (this is an innovation? IBM PC was way more impactful…)

  Such a funny chart you shared. Great joke!

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  • hark@lemmy.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Also “3D Movies” is a whole joke on its own.

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  • Perspectivist@feddit.uk ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    The chart is just for illustration purposes to make a point. I don’t see why you need to be such a dick about it. Feel free to reference any other chat that you like better which displays the progress of technological advancements thorough human history - they all look the same; for most of history nothing happened and then everything happened. If you don’t think that this progress has been increasing at explosive speed over the past few hundreds of years then I don’t know what to tell you. People 10k years ago had basically the same technology as people 30k years ago. Now compare that with what has happened even during your lifetime.

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    • Womble@piefed.world ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

      Its not a chart, to be that it would have to show some sort of relation between things. What it is is a list of things that were invented but on an exponential curve to try and back up loony singularity naratives.

      Trying to claim there was vastly less innovation in the entire 19th century than there was in the past decade is just nonsense.

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      • Perspectivist@feddit.uk ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

        Trying to claim there was vastly less innovation in the entire 19th century than there was in the past decade is just nonsense.

        And where have I made such claim?

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• panda_abyss@lemmy.ca ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  If we make this graph in 100 years almost nothing modern like hybrid cars, dvds, etc. will be in it.

  Just like this graph excludes a ton of improvements in metallurgy that enabled the steam engine.

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  • anomnom@sh.itjust.works ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    There’s also no reason for it to be a smooth curve, it looks more like a series if steps with varying flat spots between them in my head.

    And we are terrible at predicting how long a flat spot will be between improvements.

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• lime@feddit.nu ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

  ah yes, selection bias

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  • frezik@lemmy.blahaj.zone ⁨3⁩ ⁨weeks⁩ ago

    Exactly. Quantifying technological growth is incredibly difficult.

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