whyrat
@whyrat@lemmy.world
- Comment on Why aren't Americans filling the manufacturing jobs we already have? 8 hours ago:
Also just … Unemployment is still near historic lows. Where do they expect all these workers to come from? (While also deporting other employed individuals)
- Comment on Do you wish a Happy Mother's Day to your friends who are mothers or just to those in your own family? 2 days ago:
No need for a meme. Just say happy mother’s day. A personal anecdote will mean more… Give one example of why you think they’re a great mother.
I have a few close friends who are mothers I sent a note today. If you’re close enough you’d wish them a happy birthday it’d be kind to do the same on any other holiday that applies. And ultimately this is all about being nice to people you care about. If it would make their day a little bit better: do it!
The same applies for days that aren’t holidays too … This is part of how you make and maintain friendships. Send a nice message every once in a while just to let them know they matter to you and you think highly about them. People love to hear others appreciate them. They’re more likely to do the same back if you do, and I always find it uplifting to get a random compliment from a friend.
- Comment on How Trump could make Americans permanently poorer 1 week ago:
was on the verge of paying off the debt
That’s inaccurate; the annual budget deficit became a surplus. But it was never near the scale to make much of a dent in the total debt. I think you used the wrong term? Your sentiment is correct if so.
- Comment on How Will We Know If The Trump Tariffs Were A Good Idea? 1 week ago:
If you’re looking for convincing arguments; read through the responses from this panel of experts: www.kentclarkcenter.org/surveys/tariffs/ (from 2024) and more recently: kentclarkcenter.org/…/tariffs-reciprocal-and-reta…
Many of the responding professors provide detail on why they vote a certain way. For example to the 3rd part of the question from 2024: “The gains for the American economy from tripling the tariffs would measurably outweigh the losses.” you get replies like:
Protectionism via tariffs creates well-understood aggregate losses in efficiency. This is so even if China “unfairly” subsidizes its steel. Political motivations aside, actual distributional impacts are modest, ill targeted, and better handled with other more direct tax tools.
With links to further background information: economics.mit.edu/sites/…/CW 04-15-22.pdf & www.econ.ucla.edu/pfajgelbaum/tradewar_1203.pdf with more detail to read.
Not sure if this will convince you or not; but it’s at least a cache of relevant information.
- Comment on Does lemon peel kill fermentation? 2 weeks ago:
I’ve done mead with lemon zest before; it fermented as expected. That ingredient by itself should not cause fermentation to stall.
- Comment on Space Chef (in development), a space exploration/hunting x restaurant management game hybrid, releases demo on Steam. 3 weeks ago:
Dave the Diver, but in space?
- Comment on MITRE’s Support for CVE Program Set to Expire 4 weeks ago:
Republicans are so dumb :(
- Comment on Trump administration to markets: Don't expect a rescue 5 weeks ago:
He’s already made statements asking the Fed to lower rates (not that that’s the correct fix). As usual all signals are crossed, no one really knows yet… including the people who are supposed to be in charge. These sort of statements we can ignore until there’s some substance beyond just “administration says”.
- Comment on How can you oppose tariffs, while supporting a hardline against China on Taiwan? 5 weeks ago:
My facts were provided and cited? I’d argue your positions are the ones not related to the facts:
aerospace and military manufacturers are saying there are certain components they simply can’t manufacture here without importing from China
This is a media statement, not a fact, and not reflected in industry data nor historical examples. There’s a cost they don’t want to pay, not a hard block. Manufacturing has historically been more than able to adjust, but at a cost. In the event of a war we’d likely pay that cost, in the face of tariffs it’s up to those individual manufacturers to decide. So we might see them choose to keep importing instead of replacing certain components… But that does not then mean they couldn’t do so.
I don’t understand how you have maintained this perspective of interruptions and shipping affecting the US more than China
I didn’t claim this at all? And I won’t argue it as relevant since interrupting shipping globally is not a relevant equivalent to bilateral trade halting.
I don’t feel like you’re making arguments in good faith, or you are disregarding my claims and raising straw man arguments… Apologies in advance as I’ll likely not continue this thread.
- Comment on How can you oppose tariffs, while supporting a hardline against China on Taiwan? 5 weeks ago:
US manufacturing output is far larger than the amount we import form China.
US manufacturing made about $2.5 Trillion in 2021: www.macrotrends.net/…/manufacturing-output
US imported from China about $0.5 Trillion (all goods, not just manufacturing): www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html
China could defeat most western countries without firing a single shot, just by cutting off their access to Chinese exports.
I disagree with this assumption!
We don’t rely on China, we benefit from trading with them. Some of our goods go there, we get some of their goods. If a war breaks out and that trade stops; we have plenty of manufacturing capacity. And the point of having allies is that we would expect assistance in the event of a war, so we don’t expect US manufacturing to even completely fill the gap (similarly our allies would expect the US to help if China were to target one of them… except that the current administration is alienating everyone but Russia…).
If you look another level down into what each country manufactures; the US makes a lot of military equipment, and imports a lot of consumer goods form China. Our military would not lose much capacity by a loss in trade with China, but US consumers would lose some of their consumption options. Guess which one matters when it comes to war?
I don’t support tariffs as a tool to increase American manufacturing jobs because they don’t accomplish that goal. This is not a political belief; it’s derived from evidence. Many sources available, here’s one: …taxfoundation.org/…/Tax-Foundation-FF595-1.pdf
Using tariffs as a diplomatic tool is only effective in extreme cases. Diplomacy is difficult and so many things are interrelated. If a tariff threat makes China capitulate to our position on Taiwan, why not just use a tariff threat to bring China completely into line on every other position? Tariffs are blunt, and cause harm (economic and diplomatic) to broad areas of both countries unrelated to the specific issue. Topical example: sanctions on Russia did not change their position on Ukraine, even though those were far more severe than just a blanket X% tariff and were supported by many other countries (multi-lateral as opposed to uni-lateral). If we want to influence China’s position on Taiwan, diplomacy is more effective than tariffs.
- Comment on Your all-time favorite game? Let's discuss the best options! 1 month ago:
Best single game is probably Portal. The pacing, storytelling, innovation, sound, all are top notch even 20+ tears later. Graphics aren’t phenomenal, but don’t need to be. The challenges and easter eggs made it a blast to 100%.
- Comment on I feel my life is empty. Is there any way to stop this? 2 months ago:
The best way to cheer yourself up is to try to cheer somebody else up. -Mark Twain
- Comment on Speaking honestly, what has to happen for you personally to take to the street in protest of the current administration. 2 months ago:
I’ve been to protests; and I’ve volunteered for political campaigns. The second actually flipped a (US House) seat from red to blue (obviously the work of many people; I’m not thinking I was the deciding factor but it was a close election). The first left me with a pink hat and no noticeable change in how elected leaders acted.
I need to be convinced the protest will achieve measurable changes; otherwise I’ll spend my time looking for the upcoming elections where there are close enough margins to feel my actions make a difference.
- Comment on Employers added 254,000 jobs in September, blowing away forecasts 7 months ago:
This is not job openings, these are net new hires (all new hires minus all job quits / layoffs / retirements / whatever).
But, it’s not spread evenly by sector or geography. There are still areas with net losses.