I’m thinking 36-56 years
Comment on OpenAI’s latest model will block the ‘ignore all previous instructions’ loophole
EliteDragonX@lemmy.world 3 months agoIt’s actually insane that there are huge chunks of people expecting AGI anytime soon because of a CHATBOT. Just goes to show these people have 0 understanding of anything. AGI is more like 30+ years away minimum, Andrew Ng thinks 30-50 years. I would say 35-55 years.
the_post_of_tom_joad@sh.itjust.works 3 months ago
bappity@lemmy.world 3 months ago
AGI coming tomorrow! (tomorrow never comes)
halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world 3 months ago
AGI is the new Nuclear Fusion. It will always be 30 years away.
cygnus@lemmy.ca 3 months ago
At this point, if people keep cheerfully piling into dead ends like LLMs and pretending they’re AI, we’ll never have AGI. The idea of throwing ever more compute at LLMs is “expect nine women to make one baby in a month” levels of stupid.
GBU_28@lemm.ee 3 months ago
People who are pushing the boundaries are not making chat apps for gpt4.
They are privately continuing research, like they always were.
NobodyElse@sh.itjust.works 3 months ago
But they’re also having to fight for more limited funding among a crowd of chatbot “researchers”. The funding agencies are enamored with LLMs right now.
GBU_28@lemm.ee 3 months ago
In my experience that’s not the case. These teams are not very public but are very well funded.
Num10ck@lemmy.world 3 months ago
machinelearning.apple.com/…/massively-multimodal
cygnus@lemmy.ca 3 months ago
Thanks, Buster. It’s reassuring to hear that.
bulwark@lemmy.world 3 months ago
I wouldn’t say LLMs are going away any time soon. 3 or 4 years ago I did the Sentdex youtube tutorial to build one from scratch to beat a flappy bird game. They are really impressive when you look at the underlying math. And the math isn’t precise enough to be reliable for anything more than entertainment. Claiming it’s AI, much less AGI is just marketing bullshit, tho.
thanks_shakey_snake@lemmy.ca 3 months ago
You’re saying you think LLMs are not AI?
bulwark@lemmy.world 3 months ago
I’m not sure what is these days but according to Merriam it’s the capability of computer systems or algorithms to imitate intelligent human behavior. So it’s debatable.