I want to note that everything you talk about is happening on the scales of months to single years. That’s incredibly rapid pace, and also too short of a timeframe to determine true research trends.
Usually research is considered rapid if there is meaningful progression within a few years, and more realistically about a decade or so. I mean, take something like real time ray tracing, for comparison.
When I’m talking about the future of AI, I’m thinking like 10-20 years. We simply don’t know enough about what is possible to say what will happen by then.
lloram239@feddit.de 11 months ago
It utterly baffles me how people can make that claim. AI image generation has exists for not even three years and back than it could do little more than deformed Avocado chairs and shrimp. This stuff has been evolving insanely fast, much quicker than basically any technology before.
We have barely even started training AIs on video. So far it has all been static images, of course they aren’t learning motions from that and you can’t expect temporal consistency when the AI has no concept of time, frames or anything video related. And anyway, the results so far look quite promising already. Generators for 3D models and stuff is in the works as well.
What the heck do you expect? Of course going from nothing to ChatGPT/DALLE2 will be a bigger jump than going to GPT4/DALLE3, that doesn’t mean both of them aren’t substantially better than previous versions. By GPT5/DALLE4 you might really start to worry about if humans will still be necessary at all. We should be happy that we might still have a few more years left before AI renders us all obsolete.
And of course there is plenty of other research going on in the background for multi-modal models or robots that interact with the real world. Image generations and LLMs are obviously only part of the puzzle, you are not going to get an AGI as long as it is locked in a box and not allowed to interact with the real world. Though at the current pace, I’d also be very careful with letting AI out of its box.
havocpants@lemm.ee 11 months ago
Wow, this is some spectacular hyperbole!
lloram239@feddit.de 11 months ago
That’s the current pace of AI. It’s evolving insane fast and already extremely capable.
Here is a little game:
Example: www.artstation.com/artwork/LRmYvl
Result: imgur.com/a/ImbNQDk (about 20 seconds of effort)
It’s ridiculously easy to recreate almost anything on there at a similar or sometimes even better level of quality. Literally seconds to recreate what would take a human hours or even days. What are the chances that humans will still be relevant in this line of work in 5 or 10 years, when we are able to create this level of quality after not even three years of AI image generation?
And the same will be true for every other job or activity that mainly works on digital data. When you can find enough data to train an AI on, it’s gone. Humans are no longer needed. And more general AI model will sooner or later eat up all the rest as well.
I seriously don’t know how one can look at the progress in AI over the last two years and not have a bit of an existential crisis.
aesthelete@lemmy.world 11 months ago
And ridiculously difficult to copyright any of it because it was generated.
PipedLinkBot@feddit.rocks [bot] 11 months ago
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