Comment on What the fuck is going on with Iran and what will happen next?
mj_marathon@programming.dev 6 hours agoThere’s also nothing to indicate that Iran would completely reopen the strait even if the US up and fucked off. What incentive do they have at this point to return to the old status quo?
What incentive do they have at this point to return to the old status quo?
If the US fucks off, then Iran is left in a powerful negotiation position. They could us this incident to help normalize relatuons with oyher gulf states by pointing how the US and Israel started the fight, then left them all high and dry. They could make non-agression and safe passage deals with the gulf states as well as exhert real pressure against the normalization of relations with Israel.
Long term it’s better for Iran if stuff keeps flowing through and nobody moves away or pipelines around the Strait.
Before that was just economically infeasible, but now it’s being shown as a massive vulnerability and there’s no going back.
Unless Iran can make it look so expensive by comparison again.
neidu3@sh.itjust.works 6 hours ago
And even if Iran changed their mines, it’s not like the mi es will just disappear
Valmond@lemmy.dbzer0.com 5 hours ago
They didn’t release mines (yet) though? Or am I out of the loop?
phdepressed@sh.itjust.works 5 hours ago
The US sunk 16 of their mine laying ships and has been having to shoot down mine laying drones. No one really going through so no real idea about how many if any mines have gotten through.
XeroxCool@lemmy.world 4 hours ago
Is that verified and were the ships actually in operation? All I saw was “inactive mine-laying ships”
neidu3@sh.itjust.works 5 hours ago
There have been some, but I’m not sure to which extent.