It really feels like a “biggest grift so far” moment and they’re just desperate for a new hype to suck ungodly amounts of money into. Quantum computing, biotech or whatever they come up with.
Comment on Is AI Facing a Trough of Disillusionment?
dinckelman@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
Just like NFTs, this will be remembered as the biggest grift of our generation
WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 3 weeks ago
frezik@lemmy.blahaj.zone 3 weeks ago
I do think this will be the last traditional tech bubble. Not because VCs have learned any better, but because we’re at the limits of monetizing silicon under capitalism. The money will be dumped someplace else.
WanderingThoughts@europe.pub 2 weeks ago
I wouldn’t be surprised if the comments by Putin and Xi about immortality would trigger a rush on biotech and longevity projects.
chrash0@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
i know it’s popular to be very dismissive, but a lot of “AI” has already been integrated into normal workflows. AI autocomplete in development text editors, software keyboards, and question asking bots isn’t going away. text-to-speech, “smart eraser”, subject classification, signal processing kernels like DLSS and frame generation, and so many more will be with us and improving for a long time. Transformers, machine learning optimized chips, and other ML fields are going to be with us for a long time. the comparison to NFTs is either angst or misunderstanding.
jacksilver@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
That’s the issue, AI right now means LLMs not deep learning/ML.
The Deep Learning/ML stuff will keep chugging along.
chrash0@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
but LLMs do represent a significant technological leap forward. i also share the skepticism that we haven’t “cracked AGI” and that a lot of these products are dumb. i think another comment made a better analogy to the dotcom bubble.
jacksilver@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
We definitely haven’t cracked AGI, that’s without a doubt.
But yeah, LLMs are big (I’d say really Transformers were the breakthrough). My point though was that Deep Learning is the underlying technology driving all of this and we certainly haven’t run out of ideas in that space even if LLMs may be hitting a dead end.
absentbird@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
Nearly all of those can run just fine on-device. I think the part of the bubble that’s ripe to burst is the gigantic gigawatt data centers; we don’t even have the power to run them if all the ones under construction were completed. The current trajectory is not sustainable, and the more contact it has with reality the harder that will be to ignore.
littleguy@lemmy.cif.su 3 weeks ago
NFTs weren’t that successful.
Sure, some morons got scammed. But AI is literally scamming governments.
Mwa@thelemmy.club 3 weeks ago
True,I remember nfts died cause they lost their value alot.
lemmeLurk@lemmy.zip 3 weeks ago
Nfts never really had any use in the first place. Ai and LLMs does have a lot of fields where it will be used and expanded on, how much depends a lot on how it keeps developing.
But current state LLMs already can change a lot, but it will take years to be implemented widespread. Think of all the things that are still not digital at all
Hegar@fedia.io 3 weeks ago
I'm guessing it'll be more like the dot com bubble in the 90s - too much too soon but it's not going away.
heydo@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
Exactly this. It’s the hype cycle all over again. Everyone gets excited about the new thing, the new thing is easy to implement but hard to utilize effectively, everyone starts shoehorning the new thing into their thing, they throw shit-tons of money at it and shit-tons more to market it as the greatest thing ever, and then everyone starts to see the truth. The new thing is okay and can be useful but it has been way overblown, and it all starts to crumble down to where it should be and then we build it up slowly from there.