People are generally shit at understanding probabilities and even when they have a fairly strong math background tend to explain probablistic outcomes through anthropomorphism rather than doing the more difficult and “think-painy” statistical analysis that would be required to know if there was anything more to it.
I myself start to have thoughts that balatro is purposefully screwing me over or feeding me outcomes when it’s just randomness and probability as stated.
Ultimately, it’s easier (and more fun) for us to reason that way and it largely serves us better in everyday life.
But these things are entire casinos’ worth of probability and statistics in and of themselves, and the people developing them want desperately to believe that they are something more than pseudorandom probabilistic fancy autocomplete engines.
Add the difficulty of getting someone to understand how something works when their salary depends on them not understanding it to the existing inability of humans to reason probabilistically and the AGI from LLM delusion becomes near impossible to shake for some folks.
I wouldn’t be surprised if this AI hype bubble yields a cult in the end.
FourWaveforms@lemm.ee 1 day ago
Unfortunately, these articles are often written by people who don’t know enough to realize they’re missing important nuances.
datalowe@lemmy.world 21 hours ago
It also doesn’t help that the AI companies deliberately use language to make their models seem more human-like and cogent. Saying that the model e.g. “thinks” in “conceptual spaces” is misleading imo. It abuses our innate tendency to anthropomorphize, which I guess is very fitting for a company with that name.
On this point I can highly recommend this open access and even language-wise accessible article: link.springer.com/article/…/s10676-024-09775-5 (the authors also appear on an episode of the Better Offline podcast)
FourWaveforms@lemm.ee 9 hours ago
I can’t contemplate whether LLMs think until someone tells me what it means to think. It’s too easy to rely on understanding the meaning of that word only through its typical use with other words.