Just going plain statistics
And completely ignoring demographics.
First, a lot of people didn’t vote, period.
Second, support differs drastically by state. Let’s pretend we’re in 2020, right after the election. Are you in California? If so, a randomly chosen eligible voter has an 88% of having registered to vote. And a registered voter had an 81% chance of having voted. So 29% of people didn’t even vote. If they voted, they had a 34% chance of having voted for Trump. So that’s already reduced the overall chance that an eligible voter voted for Trump to 24%. But if they were younger than 30, that drops from 34% to 25% (overall: 18%). (Under 40? 29% (21%).) Or if they’re Black, Latino, or Asian? 21% (15%).
So if a 20-something Latino caught your eye, then there’s only a 17% chance he, she, or they voted for Trump. (And if you use different pronouns, there’s very little chance you voted for Trump.)
On the other hand, if you’re only into older white people (50+) who’ve been doing better while Trump was president, and you hold that not voting or voting third party is the same as voting for Trump (only a Sith deals in absolutes) then there’s a 61% chance he or she voted for Trump.
At least, I think that’s how those probabilities get combined.
Sources:
Infynis@midwest.social 1 month ago
I don’t think Trump and his ilk are known for being attractive
Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world 1 month ago
Plain statistic. For every ugly MF there should be some privileged idiot with every advantage. 100 million people. Think about it.
aniki@discuss.tchncs.de 1 month ago
You should delete this post fam. You have some personal issues you’re projecting on strangers. Probably not very healthy in the long run and seeking validation from us retards on Lemmy most certainly won’t help you in any form.
Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world 1 month ago
Nah, I’m good
Duamerthrax@lemmy.world 1 month ago
You can’t just say the word “Statistics” in an argument without actually citing a study. It’s not some magic Win Argument button.
Clinicallydepressedpoochie@lemmy.world 1 month ago
Oh. Sorry. I guess.
Banichan@dormi.zone 1 month ago
Fucking WHAT 😂
APassenger@lemmy.world 1 month ago
Couches, I hear. Couches.
Sometimes also love seats.
over_clox@lemmy.world 1 month ago
happy couch moaning noises…