Comment on No More Debates, No More Mistakes
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 2 days agoshe constantly lied and never really answered a question.
Expected by whom? That does not seem to be the consensus in any media I consume or with people I’ve talked to.
The experts. Nate Silver predicts that Trump’s odds are at 65%.
Zeppo@sh.itjust.works 2 days ago
That’s a wild analysis about her lying constantly. It’s so bizarre that someone would hear trumps endless spew of nonsense and then say that about Harris.
Sorry to have to mention reality, but that is not what Silver is saying currently:
…fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 2 days ago
Just noticed you cited 538 when I was citing Nate Silver. 538 has nothing to do with Nate Silver. He left some time ago and has called out the bad changes to their model.
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 2 days ago
It’s weird that I mentioned Kamala and that you kick in talking about Trump. Are you unable to talk about Kamala?
news.yahoo.com/…/nate-silver-slammed-over-trump-1…
No, that is what he has been saying.
Last week, for instance, his forecast gave Trump a 64% chance of winning the Electoral College while giving Vice President Kamala Harris just a 35% chance of victory, even while the same forecast saw Harris as more likely to win the popular vote and his polling averages had her leading in enough swing states to take the election.
You article is from today, so I will have to read that.
Zeppo@sh.itjust.works 2 days ago
We can discuss Harris, sure. However, the topic was a debate - so yes, the idea is comparing the two. Trump was slovenly, unhinged and incoherent, but you somehow didn’t notice and claim that Harris did a bad job? Your interpretation is so distorted that I’m not sure it’s worth addressing.
okay, so Silver is working for Peter Theil now. Good to know.
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 1 day ago
It is weird how you think it was comparing the two when talking about Harris. It is the TDS the left has. It is weird as hell.
Who cares who Nate works for? He explains his work, it’s detailed and has been very accurate. He has also said he is going to vote for Harris, as everyone should.