Comment on No More Debates, No More Mistakes
Zeppo@sh.itjust.works 2 days ago“Acting foolish” in what way exactly? She actually expressed ideas for policy and acted professional while Trump just whined, attacked with lies and moaned in a slovenly way, with a few notable outbursts about bullshit.
As of now, Trump is expected to beat Harris in the election.
Expected by whom? That does not seem to be the consensus in any media I consume or with people I’ve talked to.
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 2 days ago
she constantly lied and never really answered a question.
The experts. Nate Silver predicts that Trump’s odds are at 65%.
Zeppo@sh.itjust.works 2 days ago
That’s a wild analysis about her lying constantly. It’s so bizarre that someone would hear trumps endless spew of nonsense and then say that about Harris.
Sorry to have to mention reality, but that is not what Silver is saying currently:
…fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 2 days ago
Just noticed you cited 538 when I was citing Nate Silver. 538 has nothing to do with Nate Silver. He left some time ago and has called out the bad changes to their model.
wintermute_oregon@lemm.ee 2 days ago
It’s weird that I mentioned Kamala and that you kick in talking about Trump. Are you unable to talk about Kamala?
news.yahoo.com/…/nate-silver-slammed-over-trump-1…
No, that is what he has been saying.
Last week, for instance, his forecast gave Trump a 64% chance of winning the Electoral College while giving Vice President Kamala Harris just a 35% chance of victory, even while the same forecast saw Harris as more likely to win the popular vote and his polling averages had her leading in enough swing states to take the election.
You article is from today, so I will have to read that.
Zeppo@sh.itjust.works 1 day ago
We can discuss Harris, sure. However, the topic was a debate - so yes, the idea is comparing the two. Trump was slovenly, unhinged and incoherent, but you somehow didn’t notice and claim that Harris did a bad job? Your interpretation is so distorted that I’m not sure it’s worth addressing.
okay, so Silver is working for Peter Theil now. Good to know.