Never say never, but I don’t think it matters all that much. But answering your question, incumbent changing their running mate seems tantamount to admitting failure and you want people to view your administration as successful.
Does The US President have a better chance to win a second term with or without Kamala Harris?
Submitted 1 year ago by snausagesinablanket@lemmy.world to nostupidquestions@lemmy.world
Comments
kartonrealista@lemmy.world 1 year ago
severien@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Expect a lot of discussions what will happen with Biden dying in office, and that becomes even more possible.
And imagining Kamala as a president is a big turn off.
kartonrealista@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Compared to what? Trump? DeSantis? I don’t think so.
doyoulikemyparka@feddit.uk 1 year ago
I asked a friend this the other day and they didn’t know. In the last election Harris seemed to be set up to take over from Biden at the next election, but since then I’ve not heard anything about her or what she’s been up to as VP. What happened?
number6@feddit.nl 1 year ago
Biden can’t win the election without Harris.
Keep in mind that U.S. elections are not popular elections. You have to look at key swing states. Technically, none of the other 43~ states matter much because their outcomes are already statistically pre-determined. It doesn’t matter how much people like Biden in California or New York, if he loses key states. For instance, Hillary Clinton had twice as many popular votes in California as Trump in 2016. But those extra 4 million extra votes didn’t matter to the outcome because California is just one State.
For example, Michigan is a key electoral state. It is predominantly a red state. But Barak Obama won it two elections in a row because minorities from the densely populated areas, especially Wayne county, turned out for him. Those same minorities did not turn out when Hillary Clinton ran in 2016. They came back … just barely … when Biden ran with Harris as VP. This same story is repeated in Georgia and Wisconsin – both swing states that usually lean heavily Red.
So, to sum up. It doesn’t matter how much people in red states hate on Harris. Their election results have already been factored. What matters is how she is perceived in key swing states. While some red state voters won’t vote for Biden because they fear he might keel over, other swing state voters will … for exactly the same reason!
Ashiette@lemmy.one 1 year ago
yes
breadsmasher@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Irrelevant when the alternative is a fascist moron from gop
kava@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Wouldn’t it be more relevant? The stakes are high. Dems losing this election could have serious consequences.
…fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
Biden’s approval rating is only 0.6% higher than Trump’s at the same time period. He’s not a popular president. The economy isn’t doing well which has a very high impact on election results.
I think Democrats are taking a big risk going with Biden again, although I guess they would be taking a big risk changing him out too. What a mess, honestly.
breadsmasher@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Yeah absolutely
Guy_Fieris_Hair@lemmy.world 1 year ago
Not irrelevant. Remember 2016? The options were even worse and we ended up with the cheeto. Since the DNC decided to stick with the senile sock puppet I would bet money we end up with Pence. And they will keep turning this country into a religious state. The DNC is fine with that too, because at least pence will play by the rules and keep everyone’s doners happy. That is the only reason they hated Trump so badly. Had nothing to do with his actions, it was that he said the quiet parts out loud.