Comment on Anyone else feel like Trump has a much higher chance to win then Presidency than Kamala?
BadmanDan@lemmy.world 5 weeks agoThat’s what I’m saying, I think MI will go to Harris, but if she loses PA, Trump just needs NV & AZ and he’s going back to the White House.
While if Harris loses PA, she HAS to win GA, there’s no path to victory for her without GA in this scenario.
jordanlund@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
MI will be complicated because of the Muslim vote and Gaza.
kent_eh@lemmy.ca 5 weeks ago
Which is just bizarre, because Trump has shown he is much more willing to suck up to whatever Netanyahu wants than Biden or Harris.
Anticorp@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
It doesn’t matter to trump voters what he shows, they only believe what he says, not what he does.
BadmanDan@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
I don’t think that’ll matter, Trump BARELY won MI in 2016 by less than 10k votes, and that was with Russian Psyop Jill Stein stealing votes from Hillary there.
In 2020, Michigan had the highest youth turnout in the country and Biden won it by 150k votes.
I don’t see how Trump can flip that state back, those are insane margins.
jordanlund@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
Clinton in Michigan was just stupid, she thought it was in the bag and failed to campaign there. That hurt her more than Stein did.
But the youth vote is fickle, they turned against Biden there this year, he was never going to win MI which is one of the reasons he dropped out.
BadmanDan@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
Regardless of turnout, I just don’t see a 150k margin being overcome in just 4 years. Harris would have to lose an insane amount of voters and Trump would have to gain a lot of voters all within 4 years. I just don’t see him winning that state.