A year ago there was a lot of talk about how winter would force defensive posturing and advancement for either side could only happen outside of winter.

There's few spots where Ukraine is gaining ground. North of Tokmak there seems to be a decent offensive. There's a lot of places where they're losing ground.
Bakmut isn't even a front line anymore.

Ukraine had a chance when they were being supplied by the West. Any hiccups there are disastrous.

Besides the initial counteroffensive, Ukraine has depended on Western aid to stay in this fight. I've seen a lot of talk about how weak the Russian military was/is, but they've effectively taken on NATO. This should be a wakeup call. Not whatever other type of propaganda this is