I completely agree on the idiotic consensus around the no-true-AI meme.
The goal post is practically mounted on wheels they’re having to move it so fast. Machine learning and complexity seems to be enough.
I think that ChatGPT represents a “deep blue” moment for AI. Finally, something fairly generally, that is at least some what competitive with humans. Hell chat gpt can probably play chess better than the average human too.
But what we’re waiting for is the “alpha go” moment of AI. The moment when the unconquerable is toppled. I expect it to happen in 2-3 years. I think we’ve got almost all we need from a theoretical side, and that the rest will be engineering.
I expect AI to be largely independent, to have agency indistinguishable from a humans, but to be better, faster and broader in its scope than most humans in their ability. It will still get beaten by the best of the best humans. It will still make weird, sideways mistakes that don’t seem like obvious mistakes to make to humans. But it will be generally better than most humans at most tasks.
givesomefucks@lemmy.world 8 months ago
Mate, I was using chatbots on AIM 24 years ago…
It wasn’t AI then, it’s not AI now.
The only reason to get super excited about current chatbots, is if you think they came out of nowhere and not something after decades of slow progression. There’s no reason to expect there to be a sudden huge jump to actual AI unless you don’t know the history.
People aren’t changing definitions on you…
Well, some people are, it’s just the ones telling you chatbots are AI.
They’re just lying to generate hype to get investor money. You’re a bystander that fell for it.
GnomeKat@lemmy.blahaj.zone 8 months ago
im sure using AIM made you an AI expert too
frezik@midwest.social 8 months ago
Thats how the field advances. It doesn’t have to be a full human-level intelligence to advance the field.