It might be useful if it’s being asked what sequences of actions and events are most probable to result in a specific desired outcome
Comment on AI Launches Nukes In ‘Worrying’ War Simulation: ‘I Just Want to Have Peace in the World’
cygon@lemmy.world 9 months ago
Is this a case of “here, LLM trained on millions of lines of text from cold war novels, fictional alien invasions, nuclear apocalypses and the like, please assume there is a tense diplomatic situation and write the next actions taken by either party” ?
But it’s good that the researchers made explicit what should be clear: these LLMs aren’t thinking/reasoning “AI” that is being consulted, they just serve up a remix of likely sentences that might reasonably follow the gist of the provided prior text (“context”). A corrupted hive mind of fiction authors and actions that served their ends of telling a story.
That being said, I could imagine /some/ use if an LLM was trained/retrained on exclusively verified information describing real actions and outcomes in 20th century military history. It could serve as brainstorming aid, to point out possible actions or possible responses of the opponent which decision makers might not have thought of.
laurelraven@lemmy.blahaj.zone 9 months ago
TurtleJoe@lemmy.world 9 months ago
It’s just as likely to make some shit up as it is to be any kind of helpful.
DeepGradientAscent@programming.dev 9 months ago
To an extent.
My professional ANN experience is with computer vision and object detection. A bit with image and sound GANs too.
LLMs that I’ve spent time training and experimenting with (and I argue GANs as a class of ANN, in general) tend to “hallucinate” or “dream harder” after several tens of queries within the same instance. But one can improve output “fidelity” based on constraint parameters on the user and inference self-check algorithms.
laurelraven@lemmy.blahaj.zone 8 months ago
I did say “might”
SpaceCowboy@lemmy.ca 8 months ago
Yeah but people are insane. Like why did the Wagner group start moving on Moscow only to stop when they were 2/3 of the way there? How could something like that be predicted?
Why did that even happen? Loads of conspiracy theories around but the only thing that makes sense to me is Wagner’s boss got blackout drunk, started ranting and raving (something he did often), his officers took it to be an order and started moving out. When he sobers up a bit and realizes what’s happening, he calls the whole thing off.
We don’t really know that’s what happened, but seems plausible. If we assume that’s what happened, how does a LLM predict that sequence of events? Even when the events are unfolding how does it predict the outcome? Is there a cue you make to it and ask “but consider that the guy might be drunk” to give other explanations? Can an AI predict stupid shit a drunk person will do?
Sure an AI could potentially give possibilities based on historical trends, but it will always be an incomplete list, and something not on the list could completely change how things unfold.
People are crazy and can’t be predicted at all.
Natanael@slrpnk.net 9 months ago
LLM is literally a machine made to give you more of the same