How do they know ahead they were going to get him?
Comment on Prediction market trader 'Magamyman' made $553,000 on death of Iran's supreme leader
givesomefucks@lemmy.world 5 days ago
What’s crazy is people bet on it without insider info, knowing that people with it can.
Some comedian made a joke about it because he read off a bunch of random words that had bets on if they were said. They all paid out because he said them
The point is for any given bet a bunch of people can either make it happen or know the result before the market adjusts to the public knowing.
It’s like how early scam emails used bad grammer so only dumb people responded, if you bet on poly market, you’re already a lick.
Ironically enough this is also how our entire economy is run, just not as obviously…
suddenlyme@lemmy.zip 5 days ago
givesomefucks@lemmy.world 5 days ago
For this stuff?
It’s almost certainly someone from the trump admin.
They placed two bets for 200k each right before it happened, the second time on a very short deadline.
It’s not just that someone is making money off of it, it’s that this is the new “guy outside a pizza shop”.
Foreign intelligence agents are already 100% watching for these large bets, and whoever is running the site has a shit ton of info and almost certainly has been hacked by at least one government to find out who’s who so accounts can be monitored.
Like, you think gambling addicts over on /wallstreetbets haven’t figured this out yet?
Our shit is sloppy as fuck, and we just painted a giant target on our foreheads for pretty much every major terrorist cell.
justsomeguy@lemmy.world 5 days ago
Gambling ads go brrrrrr.
A good third of the population simply don’t have the cognitive capabilities to understand these things and if they’re not protected by regulation they’ll always fall for some form of scam.