Comment on Why the real poverty line is $140,000, this strategist argues

UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world ⁨5⁩ ⁨hours⁩ ago

So food at home is no longer 33% of household spending, it’s somewhere between 5% and 7%.

NBC News is tracking changes in the prices of eggs, bread, ground beef, chicken and other grocery items to monitor the impact on consumers’ food bills.

The average price of eggs — a frequent stand-in for inflation during the campaign — had declined from its peak in the spring and is back below last November’s prices. Average orange juice prices are up 29% and ground beef prices are up nearly 14% from where the two were a year ago.

So we’ll see how long that lasts.

Green tested out his $140,000 theory, by looking at national average data on key costs — and calculated $32,773 for childcare, $23,267 for housing, $14,717 for food, $14,828 for transportation, $10,567 for healthcare and $21,857 for what he said were other essentials. Add in federal, state and FICA taxes, and it gets to a gross income of $136,500.

These costs can (and often are) mitigated through communal living and shared household capital. Just anecdotally, I can tell you that my mother-in-law has been pivotal in providing childcare for my toddler son. Daycare can cost north of $2000/mo. And if I don’t want to burn a vacation day staying home to care for him when he’s sick, I’m going out $200+/day for a nanny. But grandma can take over for the cost of lunch. And that’s for someone with kids. You don’t need childcare if you’re childless.

Similarly, wrt transportation, I’m close enough to work that I can bike to work. If any coworkers lived nearby, we could carpool. Every household carrying its own car, maintenance, gas, insurance, etc is more a consequence of our atomized lifestyle than a requirement for survival. We absorb the cost as a luxury. And my home town of Houston builds our city to incentivize consumption of these luxuries.

So I do question $140k as “poverty level” in a material sense. These aren’t survival costs, they’re overpriced amenities.

Another point he makes is that the safety net does catch people at the very bottom, but traps anyone who climbs out. For instance, at $45,000, they lose Medicaid eligibility; at $65,000, childcare subsidies vanish.

This has been historically described as the Welfare Trap or Benefits Cliff. Our policy of means testing public services results in certain cohorts being incentivized to downplay their income for the purpose of maximizing state benefits. This pushes people into cash-businesses, the gig economy, and other gray market channels for labor which are often unregulated or quasi-criminal in function. From there, you get a rising price of policing benefits as a share of their cost (leading to skyrocketing IRS audits of poor black residents concentrated in the Gulf Coast) on the one end and increasingly unreliable labor data used to calibrate optimal domestic labor policies on the other.

What the article fails to address is the question “What happens to people operating below the poverty line?” The original Orshansky definition carries with it some real material consequences - malnutrition, exposure to the elements, significantly higher rates of treatable diseases. Do we see that for household residents below $140k/year relative to the $83k/year average? The article doesn’t say.

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