Comment on The AI boom is more overhyped than the 1990s dot-com bubble, says top economist

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peoplebeproblems@midwest.social ⁨4⁩ ⁨days⁩ ago

Well that’s just it. People don’t need AI to live, and only AI investors stand to lose anything (and anyone who had a retirement that got invested in it).

But the real estate market, which has been growing exponentially faster since the 1990s (while median income has been linear) has created a bubble that will be broken by some market event, something where real estate investors sell. That’s rare and it could only happen with something with a stupid sharp decline like you just described. I don’t know if the AI bubble is big enough itself to do it.

But I don’t think it will be residential real estate to collapse first, it will be commercial real estate. Once that happens, it’s going to be a free fall and bring everything else with it.

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