Comment on Ex-Google CEO: Power Grid Crisis Could Kill AI's Next Big Leap

tal@lemmy.today ⁨1⁩ ⁨week⁩ ago

“AI’s natural limit is electricity, not chips,” Schmidt said, cutting through the industry’s semiconductor obsession with characteristic bluntness.

I mean, maybe in the very long term that’s a fundamental limit, and you face things like Dyson spheres.

But right now, I’m personally running one human-level AGI on roughly 100W of energy, so I’m just gonna say that as things stand, the prominent limitation is software not being good enough. You’re, like, a software guy.

Ultimately it’s an optimization problem, and if we don’t know how to solve the software problems, then, yeah, we can be inefficient and dump some of the heavy lifting on the hardware guys to get a small edge.

But I’m pretty sure that the real breakthrough that needs to happen isn’t on the hardware side. Like, my existing PC and GPU already are more capable than my brain from a hardware standpoint. The hardware guys have already done their side and then some compared to human biology. It’s that we haven’t figured out the software to run on them to make them do what we want.

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