Almost guaranteed, at least. Consoles are now in the habit of closing their stores after a new generation or two when they stop making enough money, and there are a lot of games today that aren’t really playable without a day 1 patch or additional content requirement that are simply not included on the disc.

A lot of games (not even just Nintendo) don’t even include the game data on the physical media anymore. The disc/cart acts only as a license and the entire thing is downloaded from the store when first used.