Comment on The Cybertruck Appears to Be More Deadly Than the Infamous Ford Pinto, According to a New Analysis
notsoshaihulud@lemmy.world 4 weeks ago
Reads like clickbait. There’s 34K Cybetrucks, so the actual number of fire fatalities is rounded to 5, one of which is the trumptower guy (so 20% is already intentional). Not that these are encouraging numbers, but you can’t draw conclusions from an N of 4. Not encouraging but insufficient to draw conclusions.
DrBob@lemmy.ca 4 weeks ago
You can draw conclusions because there’s only 35,000 on the road. That is a terrible rate.
notsoshaihulud@lemmy.world 4 weeks ago
that’s how confirmation bias works, not statistical probabilities.
EM’s still a nazi and the CT is a horrible joke, but this is still insufficient data.
DrBob@lemmy.ca 4 weeks ago
Are you telling me that 35,000 vehicles is not a sufficient sample size to assess safety? Are you for real?
notsoshaihulud@lemmy.world 3 weeks ago
No. Incidence is a measure of probability of events over time (or with cars alternatively over miles). If the number of events is low (and 4 is low), your confidence intervals are extremely wide (which is the statistical way to say, we have no idea what the real number may be). The comparison is striking, the pinto had 27 fires over 9 years in >3M vehicles. fuelarc.com/…/its-official-the-cybertruck-is-more…
Let’s add that idiots buy cybertrucks who disproportionately think it’s bulletproof…
Again, “analyses” like this make great clickbait but contribute very little to our understanding, and that will remain the case even regardless of you getting angry at me about it or not.