Comment on In a new manifesto, OpenAI’s Sam Altman envisions an AI utopia – and reveals glaring blind spots.

nehal3m@sh.itjust.works ⁨1⁩ ⁨month⁩ ago

In 15 words: deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it.

Are you sure about that Sam? Because one, you’re the snake oil salesman writing this and I wouldn’t trust you as far as I can throw you, and two, yeah maybe it scales predictably but the prediction is that training the next model for marginal improvement will cost an exponential 100 billion (and that is taking your Microsoft discount for compute into account). You’re hitting a wall hard and the profits are still not in sight. This avenue of progress is a dead end and Sam knows it, because OpenAI is selling PPU’s instead of stock and looking to Saudi investment. Don’t get stuck with the bag folks, the few thousand days Sam claims to need aren’t survivable.

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