CuriousRefugee
@CuriousRefugee@discuss.tchncs.de
- Comment on [deleted] 2 weeks ago:
My thoughts, ended up being longer than I meant, but here:
Paying attention to the loudest voices, you will think we’ve split into two societal groups: those who use AI and think it’s absolutely perfect and will save humanity (“sheep”), and those who deny it has any uses whatsoever, is morally abhorrent, and is going to end mankind, either through war or through decay (“luddites”).
Most people will be in the middle. We will slowly learn what LLMs are good at doing, and what’s it bad at doing, and it’ll be messy. People will lose their jobs, but then some companies will realize that AI can’t actually replace those people, and some services/products will get dramatically worse/enshittified. Others will begin making a living through the use of AI, some adding great value to society and others just creating slop that a small but big enough fraction of the masses will consume to keep it around. People who are smarter at separating the good from the bad will laugh at both the luddites and the sheep.
One or two AI companies will fail and there will be massive turmoil and fallout for them. But most will either slowly reduce expectations or succeed moderately over time. Generalized AI will turn out to be way harder than some thought, and consciousness a way bigger leap from LLMs than predicted. There will be a loud push to implement safeguards, and it will be mostly ignored by politicians. However, there will be some progress on energy and water concerns, leading to large differences between countries/US states in terms of regulation. AI will turn out to be mostly bad for kids.
There will be several huge successes - a huge medical cure/vaccine, or an amazing technological invention/improvement, probably some kind of multi-disciplinary discovery. The people who drive it to completion will acknowledge it wouldn’t have occurred without AI, but humans were mostly responsible, but the media will claim that AI invented it out of whole cloth. There will also probably be some high-profile failures, like car crashes or critical server outages, maybe even leading to deaths. Luddites will seize upon them as if they’re apocalypses, and sheep will dismiss them as anomalies. The truth will be in-between. Most people’s lives will not change drastically.
- Comment on 🔧 Maintenance incoming 2 weeks ago:
Thank you!
- Comment on Why tipping keeps rising and may not improve service 4 weeks ago:
In the US, tipping is such a trash fire. The problem is that you’re practically trapped in the system. It’s being implemented all over the place now, but restaurants are the classic example. If you go to a restaurant, the typing standard is now about 20%, but 25% is not uncommon. You can technically choose to not tip, which allows the restaurant to pay your waiter less than minimum wage for that service. (technically the restaurant has to pay them more to make up for undertipping, but it’s average, not per-hour)
So your choices as an individual are to: tip the standard 20-25% (participating in an awful system), not tip (enabling criminally low wages), or never eat at restaurants. There were a few no-tip restaurants that popped up in my area a few years ago that I tried to support, but they all went out of business, likely because people can’t do math - “these restaurants cost 20% more! I’m never gonna go there and instead I’ll go to that other place and tip 20%!” It fucking sucks and everyone hates it, but there are basically no proposals to ever change it.
- Comment on bit rude, innit? 1 month ago:
They’re minerals, Marie!
- Comment on New life 2 months ago:
A møøse ate all of my pøtatoes
- Comment on yoooo 3 months ago:
What is this scene? Vaggie looks like she’s on a pirate ship! Maybe from when she’s singing the duet with Camilla in season 1? Whatever it Takes I think? I’m just trying to remember why she would be on a pirate ship, but sometimes the animation goes by so fast I miss things
- Comment on A heartwarming classic! 5 months ago:
And their Instagram, before the motorcycle pics so you have to login or cheat, is www.instagram.com/cobabeda99/
- Comment on xkcd #3143: Question Mark 6 months ago:
Charlie’s Angels’ Colon must have been a direct to TV sequel
- Comment on xkcd #3143: Question Mark 6 months ago:
This and inflationary language are two of my favorites from him!
- Comment on Check yourself before you rex yourself 6 months ago:
Oh, that’s the famous Sherlock Holmes fanfic author, right? And occasionally Batman fanfic!
- Comment on Longest comment chain! 6 months ago:
Better than jumping the shark
- Comment on "Rizz", "cooking" and "based" are going to be stereotypical old people words one day 6 months ago:
What does lamo mean? I understood the rest, and yes, my back hurts.
- Comment on It's just science. 7 months ago:
No! I’m sure we’ve aged like a fine milk. Strongbad is timeless!
- Comment on It's just science. 7 months ago:
I recognized this immediately. I hope Kyle “The Yellow Dart” Smith is doing okay
- Comment on Florida ounces 7 months ago:
Ridiculous. The metric system is all the same. How many millimommies in a decamommy? I dunno, but it’s 10 or 100 or 1000 or something like that. Everything is a factor of ten, and the unit conversions are even a factor of 10! You can look that up in a table, and a 6-year-old can properly measure things. Booooring!
Now look at the Imperial/English/Standard/US/Florida system: how many hogshead in a cubic furlong? Nobody knows offhand, so you have to get creative. Is it a US standard colonial, also called a tobacco hogshead? Or is it the British hogshead? It may depend on the contents, like whether it’s brandy or sugar or fish (the species matters!). You can convert to firkins if you wish, but that’s optional. As for furlongs, it used to depend on the horse, but sadly they standardized it to 40 rods, because German feet were longer than English feet, probably due to the toes. Fortunately, some states in the US still disagree on definitions, so the length may depend on the state. Once you figure that out, you can easily calculate that using a English wine hogshead and an international furlong leads to about 34,136,818.7 hogshead in a cubic furlong. Explain to me how that’s not better than your silly metric system!
- Comment on Day 365 of posting a Daily Screenshot from the games I've been playing (One Year Anniversary!) 8 months ago:
Congratulations on 1 year! I don’t read every day, but I’m glad when I do. Quite a commitment! Thanks so much for your contribution!
- Comment on To enjoy life without any fear 9 months ago:
Plot twist: the cat put up the sign
- Comment on Lawmakers Demand Palantir Provide Information About U.S. Contracts 9 months ago:
Sauron Denies Request for Contract Information
Reading a prepared statement from the tower of Barad-dûr, the Mouth of Sauron indicated today that the Dark Lord would not be complying with the demands of lawmakers to provide information on its contacts with the Trump Administration. The Messenger of Mordor further called the demands “ridiculous” and “unnecessary government intrusion into private affairs of Sauron, who did not answer to any higher authority, save that of his fallen master Morgoth.” Furthermore, the statement chastised the lawmakers for contacting Sauron through the Palantir, which he described as “an illegal privacy breach,” and said he planned to seek legal action for this invasion of his personal communications.
- Comment on There it is, that funny feeling. 10 months ago:
Apply Directly To The Forehead.
- Comment on Pronunciation is important 11 months ago:
Ahem… … … gif
- Comment on Maybe it's just a human thing. 11 months ago:
