Comment on Anyone else feel like Trump has a much higher chance to win then Presidency than Kamala?
jordanlund@lemmy.world 5 weeks agoClinton in Michigan was just stupid, she thought it was in the bag and failed to campaign there. That hurt her more than Stein did.
But the youth vote is fickle, they turned against Biden there this year, he was never going to win MI which is one of the reasons he dropped out.
BadmanDan@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
Regardless of turnout, I just don’t see a 150k margin being overcome in just 4 years. Harris would have to lose an insane amount of voters and Trump would have to gain a lot of voters all within 4 years. I just don’t see him winning that state.
jordanlund@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
All it takes is for the Muslim vote to stay home.
www.cnn.com/2023/11/04/politics/…/index.html
“Michigan has more than 200,000 Muslim American voters — 146,000 of whom turned out to vote in 2020 –— according to an analysis by Emgage, an organization that seeks to build the political power of Muslim Americans. Biden won Michigan — a state that narrowly went to Donald Trump in 2016 — by 155,000 votes.”
BadmanDan@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
But how many of them actually voted for Biden?
jordanlund@lemmy.world 5 weeks ago
npr.org/…/arab-americans-michigan-voters-biden-is…
“AP reported that 64% of Muslims nationwide supported Biden in 2020, while 35% supported Trump. And in heavily Arab American counties in Michigan, voters went for Biden by a little less than 70%.”
So 154,000 voted, 70% for Biden. 107,800 or so.