Comment on Will self driving trucks hit the roads with nobody on board or will they keep a human supervisor?
abhibeckert@lemmy.world 2 months agoThis tech advances very slowly.
Historically, anything that reduces cost of transporting goods has advanced extremely quickly. The best comparison, I think, is the shipping container.
It took about ten years for that to go from an invention nobody had heard of to one that was being used in every single seaport in the world and about another ten years to reach a point where virtually all shipping used that method.
Right now, AI powered trucks are more expensive and less reliable than human powered trucks. That’s why it’s moving slowly. When the tipping point is reached, things will change. And fast.
carleeno@reddthat.com 2 months ago
I don’t disagree with you. There will be a rapid rate of adoption.
But how long before it’s capable enough to be adopted? We (as in anybody) don’t know. We just know that it’s been many many years and they’re still not there yet, and just because a few driverless vehicles are operating (in extremely ideal scenarios with lots of help) doesn’t mean it’s ready for the kind of hockey stick curve that the industry is looking forward to.
It will happen eventually, sure. My prediction was in regards to the OP’s question of what will things look like in a few years. I don’t think the tech will be ready for mass adoption in just a few years, neither does the author of the article linked.