Comment on [deleted]
Iamdanno@lemmynsfw.com 7 months agoThe host’s intentions are irrelevant. Numerically, there are only two choices. That makes it fifty-fifty.
Comment on [deleted]
Iamdanno@lemmynsfw.com 7 months agoThe host’s intentions are irrelevant. Numerically, there are only two choices. That makes it fifty-fifty.
Silentiea@lemm.ee 7 months ago
You think that even in the hundred-door case? Test it. Hell, even test it in the 3 door case. It is empirically not 50%.
If the host had an even chance to show you either door, you’d be right, but since the host always shows you a goat, the two events (picking a door and choosing whether to switch) are no longer independent, since if you pick a goat it forces the host to pick the other goat.