Comment on [deleted]
dudinax@programming.dev 8 months agoNo you’re not wrong. There’s a reverse fallacy called the ludic fallacy: an unwarranted belief that the rules of the game describe how the game actually works.
“Given a fair table, if red comes up 99 times in a row, what are the relative odd of getting red vs. black?”
Mathematician, falling for the ludic fallacy: 1:1
Realist: You’re wrong. The table isn’t fair. Red is more likely.
However, people tend to underestimate the how likely long runs are at a fair table.
haui_lemmy@lemmy.giftedmc.com 8 months ago
Thanks for elaborating. :)