Batteries almost certainly will get cheaper. Lithium isn’t particularly rare. There are sources where it isn’t economical to extract it currently. That’s what “reserves” measure: a source that is economical to extract right now.
We tend to find new ways to extract minerals, which expands our reserves. Happens all the time, and lithium is no exception. The big one right now is the Salton Sea and seawater extraction in general.
There’s also an interesting (string-based method)[…princeton.edu/…/revolutionizing-lithium-producti…] that could bring costs down and avoid the large pools of water that cause environmental damage and high water usage of current methods. It still needs to be proven at scale, however. I usually don’t like to focus on any singular advancement; battery tech advances by trying 100 things, and 10 of them are practical at scale. This one does look promising, though.
Tja@programming.dev 10 months ago
Any base on those claims that batteries aren’t going to get cheaper? They have been for 15 years. There is still progress to be made. There are LFP that get rod of cobalt. There are sodium batteries in testing that will reduce lithium demand.
TheGrandNagus@lemmy.world 10 months ago
Their claim about lithium being rare is nonsense as well. There’s no lithium shortage, there’s more a shortage of refineries and battery packaging plants (which means by building more, batteries will continue getting cheaper) and other rare earth metals, which is more of an issue, but like you say, the harder to source ones are being phased out of battery design.