Comment on What If There’s No AGI?
Womble@piefed.world 2 days agoIts not a chart, to be that it would have to show some sort of relation between things. What it is is a list of things that were invented but on an exponential curve to try and back up loony singularity naratives.
Trying to claim there was vastly less innovation in the entire 19th century than there was in the past decade is just nonsense.
Perspectivist@feddit.uk 2 days ago
And where have I made such claim?
Womble@piefed.world 2 days ago
The "chart" that you posted, it showed barely any increase in the 1800s and massive increases in the last decades.
Perspectivist@feddit.uk 2 days ago
The chart is just for illustration to highlight my point. As I already said - pick a different chart if you prefer, it doesn’t change the argument I’m making.
It took us hundreds of thousands of years to go from stone tools to controlling fire. Ten thousand years to go from rope to fish hook. And then just 60 years to go from flight to space flight.
I’ll happily grant you rapid technological progress even over the past thousand years. My point still stands - that’s yesterday on the timeline I’m talking about.
If you lived 50,000 years ago, you’d see no technological advancement over your entire lifetime. Now, you can’t even predict what technology will look like ten years from now. Never before in human history have we taken such leaps as we have in the past thousand years. Put that on a graph and you’d see a steady line barely sloping upward from the first humans until about a thousand years ago - then a massive spike shooting almost vertically, with no signs of slowing down. And we’re standing right on top of that spike.
Throughout all of human history, the period we’re living in right now is highly unusual - which is why I claim that on this timeline, AGI might as well be here tomorrow.
k0e3@lemmy.ca 1 day ago
I think their point is that your attempt to illustrate yours is poorly executed.
I’m sure they would not have nitpicked if you had just said it with words. It’s probably just AI generated or was found using a quick google since you didn’t even notice where the “chart” suggested there was more innovation in the last decade than the entire 19th century.