Comment on U.S. residential solar on the brink of collapse
greengnu@slrpnk.net 4 days agoSo you feel China is betting on Silicon and that the actual future is Gallium arsenide ?
Because it has a direct band gap and at 1/50 of the thickness would be cheaper and more efficient than silicon?
MOCVD@mander.xyz 2 days ago
It’s more complicated. Silicon has an overwhelming advantage on manufacturing because of IC, ultimately that will make the dollar per watt hard to beat. That’s why Alta focused on applications with limited area.
I mentioned halides earlier (also called perovskite unfortunately). If you look at the NREL chart www.nrel.gov/pv/cell-efficiency the bottom right showed halides rapidly increasing in efficiency and the manufacturing has the potential to scale a lot. I remember a conference presentation a few years back showing efforts to repurpose newspaper printing machinery and just roll out cells at high volume.
My secret little inside tin foil hat voice says China might not be comfortable with an American supremacy in tech that can make relatively inexpensive drones that stay in the air indefinitely.